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Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve? »

Source: Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Volume/Issue: 2016/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Laseen , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498348645

Keywords: Phillips curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Financial Frictions, Conditional Forecast, Regime Switching and Bayesian Estimation.

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this empirical paper, we use multivariate, possibly time-varying, time-series models...

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Laseen , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498348645.001

ISBN: 9781498348645

Keywords: Phillips curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Financial Frictions, Conditional Forecast, Regime Switching and Bayesian Estimation.

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this empirical paper, we use multivariate, possibly time-varying, time-series models...

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World »

Volume/Issue: 2017/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valerie Cerra , and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 March 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475585506.001

ISBN: 9781475585506

Keywords: Trade, Unemployment, export accelerations, growth, inequality, probit, synthetic control method, Latin America and the Caribbean; globalization, Latin America and the Caribbean, globalization

This paper investigates the determinants of sustained accelerations in goods and services exports. Strong predictors of export takeoffs include domestic and structural indicators such as lower macroeconomic uncerta...

Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs

Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs »

Volume/Issue: 2019/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Swarnali Ahmed Hannan , Jonathan Ostry , and Andrew Rose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 January 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484390061.001

ISBN: 9781484390061

Keywords: Productivity, Unemployment, Output, protection, inequality, exchange rate, trade balance, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases...

South Africa
			: Labor Market Dynamics and Inequality

South Africa : Labor Market Dynamics and Inequality »

Volume/Issue: 2016/137

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Anand , Siddharth Kothari , and Naresh Kumar

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 July 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498358934.001

ISBN: 9781498358934

Keywords: Unemployment, South Africa, Labor market transitions, Inequality

This paper analyzes the determinants of high unemployment in South Africa by studying labor market dynamics using individual level panel data from the Quarterly Labor Force Survey. While prior work experience and g...

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World1

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World1 »

Source: Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World

Volume/Issue: 2017/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valerie Cerra , and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 March 2017

ISBN: 9781475585506

Keywords: Trade, Unemployment, export accelerations, growth, inequality, probit, synthetic control method, Latin America and the Caribbean; globalization, Latin America and the Caribbean, globalization

This paper investigates the determinants of sustained accelerations in goods and services exports. Strong predictors of export takeoffs include domestic and structural indicators such as lower macroeconomic uncerta...

Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs

Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs »

Source: Macroeconomic Consequences of Tariffs

Volume/Issue: 2019/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Swarnali Ahmed Hannan , Jonathan Ostry , and Andrew Rose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484390061

Keywords: Productivity, Unemployment, Output, protection, inequality, exchange rate, trade balance, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

We study the macroeconomic consequences of tariffs. We estimate impulse response functions from local projections using a panel of annual data that spans 151 countries over 1963-2014. We find that tariff increases...

Poverty and the Environment

Poverty and the Environment »

Source: Finance & Development, December 1993

Volume/Issue: 30/4

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1993

ISBN: 9781451951813

Keywords: inflation, free trade, foreign exchange, independent central bank, unemployment rate

For the latest thinking about the international financial system, monetary policy, economic development, poverty reduction, and other critical issues, subscribe to Finance & Development (F&D). This lively quarterly...

Poverty Reduction: Learning the Lessons of Experience

Poverty Reduction: Learning the Lessons of Experience »

Source: Finance & Development, September 1994

Volume/Issue: 31/3

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1994

ISBN: 9781451952162

Keywords: employment, domestic production, skilled labor, labor demand, unemployment

For the latest thinking about the international financial system, monetary policy, economic development, poverty reduction, and other critical issues, subscribe to Finance & Development (F&D). This lively quarterly...