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Adding China to the Global Projection Model1

Adding China to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding China to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2013/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , Peter Elliott , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Hostland , Douglas Laxton , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484317631

Keywords: Global Macroeconomic Model, inflation target, real interest rate, General, Global Outlook, General,

We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key econom...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward?

Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward? »

Source: Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward?

Volume/Issue: 2019/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Constance de Soyres , Anna Rogantini Picco , and Randa Sab

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484396247

Keywords: Domestic debt, Real interest rates, Economic growth, Heavily indebted poor countries, Interest rate increases, Debt build-up;Frontier LIDCs;global and country-specific factors;debt-to-GDP ratio;debt-to-GDP;country-specific;federal fund rate;fund rate

This paper focuses on the debt build-up that frontier low-income developing countries (LIDCs) have faced since 2012. First, it documents a 20-percentage point increase in the external and government debt-to-GDP ra...

Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances

Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances »

Source: Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances : Some Conventional Views Reconsidered

Volume/Issue: 2007/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Guy Meredith

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2007

ISBN: 9781451865684

Keywords: Debt Dynamics, International Adjustment, exchange rate, current account, real exchange rate, external debt, current account deficit, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Consumer Economics: Theory, Macroeconomics: Consumption

We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to...

Financing Uganda'S Poverty Reduction Strategy

Financing Uganda'S Poverty Reduction Strategy »

Source: Financing Uganda'S Poverty Reduction Strategy : Is Aid Causing More Pain Than Gain?

Volume/Issue: 2004/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mwanza Nkusu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2004

ISBN: 9781451858457

Keywords: and poverty, reer, exchange rate, real exchange rate, foreign exchange, real effective exchange rate, Economic Growth of Open Economies, Welfare and Poverty: General, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General,

Uganda's market-friendly development strategy and poverty reduction agenda have attracted large financial inflows, including aid. During 2000-02, concerns about a possible aid-induced Dutch disease were heightened...

Global Equilibrium Exchange Rates

Global Equilibrium Exchange Rates »

Source: Global Equilibrium Exchange Rates : Euro, Dollar, 'Ins,' 'Outs,' and Other Major Currencies in a Panel Cointegration Framework

Volume/Issue: 1999/175

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Susana Garcia Cervero , J. Lopez , Enrique Alberola Ila , and Angel Ubide

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858730

Keywords: Equilibrium Exchange Rates, Panel Cointegration, exchange rate, cointegration, exchange rates, real exchange rate, statistics

This paper presents a methodology for calculating bilateral equilibrium exchange rates for a panel of currencies in a way that guarantees global consistency. The methodology has three parts: a theoretical model tha...

Global Liquidity and Asset Prices

Global Liquidity and Asset Prices »

Source: Global Liquidity and Asset Prices : Measurement, Implications, and Spillovers

Volume/Issue: 1999/168

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Klaas Baks , and Charles Kramer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858242

Keywords: Liquidity, money growth, international spillovers, monetary policy, real interest rates, monetary aggregates

Much recent commentary suggests that global liquidity has influenced financial conditions in the major international markets to an important degree, and that excess liquidity in one financial center can influence f...

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports »

Source: Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Volume/Issue: 2015/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed , Maximiliano Appendino , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513531793

Keywords: Real Exchange Rate, Global Value Chains, exports, exchange, value, elasticity, trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, All Countries,

This paper analyzes how the formation of Global Value Chains (GVCs) has affected the exchange rate elasticity of exports. Using a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, we first find some...

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century »

Source: Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century

Volume/Issue: 2000/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): N. Crafts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451846409

Keywords: Growth, convergence, tfp, growth rates, real gdp, growth accounting

This paper reviews the experience of economic growth during the twentieth century with a view to highlighting implications for both growth economists and policy-makers. The unprecedented divergence in income levels...