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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries

The End of An Era? the Medium- and Long-Term Effects of the Global Crisison Growth in Low-Income Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2010/205

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chris Papageorgiou , Andrew Berg , Catherine Pattillo , and Nicola Spatafora

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455205363.001

ISBN: 9781455205363

Keywords: Global financial crisis, low-income countries, medium- and long-term growth, impulse response functions, growth spells, panel growth regressions, terms of trade, pre-crisis, post-crisis growth, exchange rate regime

This paper investigates the medium- and long-term growth effects of the global financial crises on Low-Income Countries (LICs). Using several methodological approaches, including impulse response function analysis,...

The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM

The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM »

Volume/Issue: 2015/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Patrick Blagrave , Pedro Espaillat , Keiko Honjo , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , René Lalonde , Douglas Laxton , Eleonara Mavroeidi , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475518665.001

ISBN: 9781475518665

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, macroeconomic interdependence, consumption, investment, demand, trade, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structur...

The Global Financial Crisis
			: An Anatomy of Global Growth

The Global Financial Crisis : An Anatomy of Global Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2013/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484362013.001

ISBN: 9781484362013

Keywords: Growth Synchronization, global shocks, global financial crisis, idiosyncratic shocks, pre-crisis, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and...

The Global Macroeconomic Costs of Raising Bank Capital Adequacy Requirements

The Global Macroeconomic Costs of Raising Bank Capital Adequacy Requirements »

Volume/Issue: 2012/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek , and Scott Roger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463936457.001

ISBN: 9781463936457

Keywords: Basel III, inflation, monetary fund, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation,

This paper examines the transitional macroeconomic costs of a synchronized global increase in bank capital adequacy requirements under Basel III, as well as a capital increase covering globally systemically importa...

The Role of Fiscal Transparency in Sustaining Growth and Stability in Latin America

The Role of Fiscal Transparency in Sustaining Growth and Stability in Latin America »

Volume/Issue: 2007/220

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taryn Parry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451867848.001

ISBN: 9781451867848

Keywords: Macroeconomic stability, fiscal policy, fiscal activities, contingent liabilities, decentralization,

Latin America has experienced a resurgence in growth in recent years. However, it is also a region that has been prone to crises while growth has not delivered a significant reduction in poverty and inequality. Mai...

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy
			: An Empirical Exploration

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy : An Empirical Exploration »

Volume/Issue: 2003/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Marco Terrones , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875874.001

ISBN: 9781451875874

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, volatility, correlations, globalization period, business cycle, growth rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Factor Movements and International Business,

This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant de...

Global Liquidity
			: Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets

Global Liquidity : Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets »

Volume/Issue: 2011/136

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455264452.001

ISBN: 9781455264452

Keywords: world risk-free rate, unconventional monetary policy, liquidity, exchange rate, monetary policy, international reserves, interest rates, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Macroeconomics And Monetary Economics, Money And Interest Rates,

What is global liquidity and how does it affect an economy? The paper addresses that question by looking at liquidity from two different perspectives: global liquidity as availability of funds in safe and risky ass...

Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending1

Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending1 »

Source: Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending

Volume/Issue: 2003/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

ISBN: 9781451843149

Keywords: capital deepening, gini coefficient, dependent variable, statistics, unequal societies, social security, Welfare and Poverty: General, National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance

The paper examines empirically the question of whether more unequal societies spend more on income redistribution than their more egalitarian counterparts. Theoretical arguments on this issue are inconclusive. The...

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction »

Source: Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Volume/Issue: 2002/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Leite , Charalambos Tsangarides , and Dhaneshwar Ghura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2002

ISBN: 9781451854091

Keywords: Macroeconomic Policy, Bayesian Analysis, probability, logarithm, equation, correlation, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Measurement and Analysis of Poverty, Comparative Studies of Countries,

The paper investigates the existence of "super pro-poor" policies-that is, policies that directly influence the income of the poor after accounting for the effect of growth. It uses a dynamic panel estimator to cap...

Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets*

Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets* »

Source: Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2018/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rudolfs Bems , Francesca Caselli , Francesco Grigoli , Bertrand Gruss , and Weicheng Lian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

ISBN: 9781484381595

Keywords: Globalization, Inflation, Emerging markets, Inflation expectations, Central banks and their policies, Phillips Curve, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's...