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The Slowdown in Global Trade: A Symptom of A Weak Recovery1

The Slowdown in Global Trade: A Symptom of A Weak Recovery1 »

Source: The Slowdown in Global Trade: A Symptom of A Weak Recovery

Volume/Issue: 2017/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Aqib Aslam , Emine Boz , Eugenio Cerutti , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro , and Petia Topalova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484328279

Keywords: Globalization, Trade policy, International trade, Investment, General, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, Trade Forecasting and Simulation, International Business Cycles

Global trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This paper aims to quantify the role of weak economic growth and changes in its decomposi...

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia1

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia1 »

Source: Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia

Volume/Issue: 2015/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Knarik Ayvazyan , and Teresa Daban Sanchez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513590462

Keywords: Spillovers, Trade, Business cycles, Transmission channels, SVAR, economy, trading partners, regional shocks, oil prices, General

Using a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model, this paper examines the size, geographical sources, and transmission channels of global and regional shocks to the Armenian economy. Results show that Armenia...

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy1

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy1 »

Source: The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2015/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513509846

Keywords: Tight oil, shale oil, fracking revolution, oil price decline, oil supply, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, oil, prices, oil prices

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2...

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy »

Source: Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy : An Empirical Exploration

Volume/Issue: 2003/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Marco Terrones , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

ISBN: 9781451875874

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, volatility, correlations, globalization period, business cycle, growth rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Factor Movements and International Business,

This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant de...

World Economic Outlook, October 2007
			: Globalization and Inequality

World Economic Outlook, October 2007 : Globalization and Inequality »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 January 2008

Language: Arabic

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589066915.081

ISBN: 9781589066915

Keywords: capital inflows, globalization, private capital, output volatility, private capital flows, private capital inflows, capital flows, capital controls, exchange rate, commodity prices

The global economy grew strongly in the first half of 2007, although turbulence in financial markets has clouded prospects. While the 2007 forecast has been little affected, the baseline projection for 2008 global...

World Economic Outlook, October 2007
			: Globalization and Inequality

World Economic Outlook, October 2007 : Globalization and Inequality »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 December 2007

Language: Russian

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589066991.081.A001

ISBN: 9781589066991

Keywords: capital inflows, globalization, private capital, output volatility, private capital flows, private capital inflows, capital flows, capital controls, exchange rate, commodity prices

The global economy grew strongly in the first half of 2007, although turbulence in financial markets has clouded prospects. While the 2007 forecast has been little affected, the baseline projection for 2008 global...

World Economic Outlook, October 2007
			: Globalization and Inequality

World Economic Outlook, October 2007 : Globalization and Inequality »

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 March 2008

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451928846.081

ISBN: 9781451928846

Keywords: capital inflows, globalization, private capital, output volatility, private capital flows, private capital inflows, capital flows, capital controls, exchange rate, commodity prices

The global economy grew strongly in the first half of 2007, although turbulence in financial markets has clouded prospects. While the 2007 forecast has been little affected, the baseline projection for 2008 global...