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Global and Regional Spillovers to Pacific Island Countries

Global and Regional Spillovers to Pacific Island Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2012/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yiqun Wu , Patrizia Tumbarello , and Niamh Sheridan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504491.001

ISBN: 9781475504491

Keywords: Pacific islands, spillover, downside scenarios, equation, statistic, cointegration, oil prices

Regional integration of Pacific Island countries (PICs) with Australia, New Zealand, and emerging Asia has increased over the last two decades. PICs have become more exposed to the region's business cycles, and spi...

Oil Prices and the Global Economy
			: Is It Different This Time Around?

Oil Prices and the Global Economy : Is It Different This Time Around? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and M. Pesaran

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475552034.001

ISBN: 9781475552034

Keywords: Economic growth, Markets, Oil, Oil prices, United States, Western Hemisphere, Econometric models, Supply and demand, Vector autoregression, Equity prices

The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the United States and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econ...

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia »

Volume/Issue: 2015/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Knarik Ayvazyan , and Teresa Daban Sanchez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513590462.001

ISBN: 9781513590462

Keywords: Spillovers, Trade, Business cycles, Transmission channels, SVAR, economy, trading partners, regional shocks, oil prices, General

Using a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model, this paper examines the size, geographical sources, and transmission channels of global and regional shocks to the Armenian economy. Results show that Armenia...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475597158.001

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles

The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles »

Volume/Issue: 2012/255

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475581645.001

ISBN: 9781475581645

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, macroeconomic shocks, international business cycle, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, oil exports, reer

This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GD...

The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries
			: An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index

The Spillover Effects of the Global Crisison Economic Activity in Mena Emerging Market Countries : An Analysis Using the Financial Stress Index »

Volume/Issue: 2010/8

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kenji Moriyama

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451961867.001

ISBN: 9781451961867

Keywords: Spillover, financial stress, emerging market, gdp growth, real gdp, trade partners, oil prices,

The estimated spillover of the global crisis to emerging market (EM) economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) indicates that nearly two-thirds of the increased financial stress in MENA EM countries afte...

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2015/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513509846.001

ISBN: 9781513509846

Keywords: Tight oil, shale oil, fracking revolution, oil price decline, oil supply, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, oil, prices, oil prices

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2...

Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin?

Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin? »

Source: Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin?

Volume/Issue: 2011/8

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Jonathan Ostry , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: International Organizations Research Journal

Publication Date: 08 April 2011

Language: Russian

ISBN: 9781616355302

Keywords: Income distribution, Developed countries, Developing countries, Economic growth, Emerging markets, Poverty reduction, sustainable growth, per capita income, external debt, external shocks

This note raises the IMF's profile on a number of issues related to inequality, unemployment, governance, etc. It builds on earlier empirical work that examined correlations between growth downbreaks/duration of gr...

Rapport annuel 2005, l'économie mondiale au service de tous
			: Making the Global Economy Work for All

Rapport annuel 2005, l'économie mondiale au service de tous : Making the Global Economy Work for All »

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2005

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589064270.011

ISBN: 9781589064270

Keywords: financial statements, financial sector, debt relief, balance of payments, general resources account, repurchases, debt sustainability, cash flows, financial stability, central bank

The Annual Report 2005 to the Board of Governors reviews the IMF's activities and policies during the financial year (May 1, 2004, through April 30, 2005). The main sections cover country, global, and regional surv...

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2016

International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2016 »

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 October 2016

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475522518.011

ISBN: 9781475522518

Keywords: IMF, annual report, IMF activities, IMF priorities, quota, quota reform, international monetary system, renminbi, SDR, Sustainable Development Goals

The year was marked by difficult challenges and milestone achievements. To reinvigorate modest growth at a time of uncertainty about a complicated global economy, the IMF membership endorsed a three-pronged approac...