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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Getting to Know GIMF
			: The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model

Getting to Know GIMF : The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model »

Volume/Issue: 2013/55

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Derek Anderson , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , Michael Kumhof , Douglas Laxton , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 February 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475559415.001

ISBN: 9781475559415

Keywords: business cycle, fiscal multipliers, general equilibrium models, interest rates, macroeconomic interdependence, policy effects, simulation, inflation, real interest rate, real interest rates

The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research....

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates »

Volume/Issue: 2013/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mirko Abbritti , Salvatore Dell'Erba , Antonio Moreno , and Sergio Sola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 November 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475513516.001

ISBN: 9781475513516

Keywords: Yield Curve, Global Factors, FAVAR, Affine Term Structure Models, Term Premium, inflation, monetary economics, expansionary monetary policy, monetary policies, Time-Series Models

This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more...

Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation
			: Some Cross-Country Evidence

Global Food Prices and Domestic Inflation : Some Cross-Country Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2015/133

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Prakash Loungani , John Simon , and Susan Wachter

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513542973.001

ISBN: 9781513542973

Keywords: pass-through, food, economies, food price, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper provides a broad brush look at the impact of fluctuations in global food prices on domestic inflation in a large group of countries. For advanced economies, we find that these fluctuations have played a...

Globalization and Corporate Taxation

Globalization and Corporate Taxation »

Volume/Issue: 2012/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manmohan Kumar , and Dennis Quinn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557754752.001

ISBN: 9781557754752

Keywords: Corporate tax rates, Strategic behavior, taxation, tax policy, fiscal affairs, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Relations and International Political Economy: Other, Business Taxes and Subsidies,

This paper analyzes the extent to which the degree of international economic integration, both financial and trade, affects corporate tax rates. It explores this issue in the context of strategic behavior by countr...

GPM6
			: The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions

GPM6 : The Global Projection Model with 6 Regions »

Volume/Issue: 2013/87

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ioan Carabenciov , Charles Freedman , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Ondra Kamenik , and Petar Manchev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 April 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484318942.001

ISBN: 9781484318942

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

This is the sixth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which economist...

Harnessing Resource Wealth for Inclusive Growth in Fragile States

Harnessing Resource Wealth for Inclusive Growth in Fragile States »

Volume/Issue: 2015/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Corinne Delechat , John Clark JR , Pranav Gupta , Malangu Kabedi-Mbuyi , Mesmin Koulet-Vickot , Carla Macario , Toomas Orav , Manuel Rosales Torres , Rene Tapsoba , Dmitry Zhdankin , and Susan Yang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 February 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498392570.001

ISBN: 9781498392570

Keywords: fragile states, revenue, investment, poverty, public investment, safety nets, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development, Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development, One, Two

Like other fragile sub-Saharan African countries, Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone are seeking to harness their natural resource potential in the context of ambitious development strategies. This st...

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eric Monnet , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513564890.001

ISBN: 9781513564890

Keywords: International Business Cycles, Synchronization, business cycle, economies, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, All Countries,

This paper assesses the strength of business cycle synchronization between 1950 and 2014 in a sample of 21 countries using a new quarterly dataset based on IMF archival data. Contrary to the common wisdom, we find...

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles? »

Volume/Issue: 2003/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844542.001

ISBN: 9781451844542

Keywords: Macroeconomic fluctuations, trade and financial integration, output and consumption comovement, correlations, financial integration, capital flows, correlation, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement among a large group of industrial and developing countries. The results provide at best limited su...

Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending

Income Inequality and Redistributive Government Spending »

Volume/Issue: 2003/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451843149.001

ISBN: 9781451843149

Keywords: capital deepening, gini coefficient, dependent variable, statistics, unequal societies, social security, Welfare and Poverty: General, National Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance

The paper examines empirically the question of whether more unequal societies spend more on income redistribution than their more egalitarian counterparts. Theoretical arguments on this issue are inconclusive. The...

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction

Is Growth Enough? Macroeconomic Policy and Poverty Reduction »

Volume/Issue: 2002/118

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Leite , Charalambos Tsangarides , and Dhaneshwar Ghura

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451854091.001

ISBN: 9781451854091

Keywords: Macroeconomic Policy, Bayesian Analysis, probability, logarithm, equation, correlation, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Models with Panel Data, Measurement and Analysis of Poverty, Comparative Studies of Countries,

The paper investigates the existence of "super pro-poor" policies-that is, policies that directly influence the income of the poor after accounting for the effect of growth. It uses a dynamic panel estimator to cap...