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The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy

The U.S. Oil Supply Revolution and the Global Economy »

Volume/Issue: 2015/259

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513509846.001

ISBN: 9781513509846

Keywords: Tight oil, shale oil, fracking revolution, oil price decline, oil supply, global macroeconometric modeling, international business cycle, oil, prices, oil prices

This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of falling oil prices due to the oil revolution in the United States, using a Global VAR model estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2...

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy
			: An Empirical Exploration

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy : An Empirical Exploration »

Volume/Issue: 2003/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Marco Terrones , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875874.001

ISBN: 9781451875874

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, volatility, correlations, globalization period, business cycle, growth rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Factor Movements and International Business,

This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant de...

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S.

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S. »

Source: Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality in the U.S.

Volume/Issue: 2012/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): John Silvia , Lorenz Kueng , Olivier Coibion , and Yuriy Gorodnichenko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505498

Keywords: Consumption Inequality, inflation, contractionary monetary policy, inflation target, monetary shocks, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles, money And Interest Rates, monetary Policy, Central Banking

We study the effects and historical contribution of monetary policy shocks to consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980. Contractionary monetary policy actions systematically increase inequa...

Oil Prices and the Global Economy

Oil Prices and the Global Economy »

Source: Oil Prices and the Global Economy : Is It Different This Time Around?

Volume/Issue: 2016/210

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kamiar Mohaddes , and M. Pesaran

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2016

ISBN: 9781475552034

Keywords: Economic growth, Markets, Oil, Oil prices, United States, Western Hemisphere, Econometric models, Supply and demand, Vector autoregression, Equity prices

The recent plunge in oil prices has brought into question the generally accepted view that lower oil prices are good for the United States and the global economy. In this paper, using a quarterly multi-country econ...

Part IV: Living with the Global Cycle

Part IV: Living with the Global Cycle »

Source: Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

Chapter Epigraphs [T]here is a danger that recession will feed on itself and that confidence in the future will be progressively sapped throughout the world as cautio...

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Global Housing Markets

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Global Housing Markets »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2014

Volume/Issue: 15/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498340045

Keywords: monetary fund, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, housing markets, Jacques Polak, William Hood, IMF Economic Review, growth shocks, housing booms,

This issue of the IMF Research Bulletin opens with a letter from the new editor, Rabah Arezki. The Research Summaries are a "Primer on 'Global Liquidity'" (Eugenio Cerutti, Stijn Claessens, and Lev Ratnovski); and...

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, Fall 2017

Volume/Issue: 18/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484327234

Keywords: Agriculture, Globalization, Credit, Central bank issues, Credit markets, Farm development, central bank, quantitative easing, balance sheet adjustment, lending

The Fall 2017 IMF Research Bulletin includes a Q&A article covering "Seven Questions on the Globalization of Farmland" by Christian Bogmans. The first research summary, by Manmohan Singh and Haobing Wang is "Centra...

Regionalization vs. Globalization

Regionalization vs. Globalization »

Source: Regionalization vs. Globalization

Volume/Issue: 2013/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hideaki Hirata , Ayhan Kose , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 January 2013

ISBN: 9781557753281

Keywords: Comovement, Synchronization, Trade linkages, Financial linkages, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, regional trade, global trade, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models

Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution o...

Research Summaries: A Primer on “Global Liquidity”

Research Summaries: A Primer on “Global Liquidity” »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2014

Volume/Issue: 15/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498340045

Keywords: monetary fund, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, housing markets, Jacques Polak, William Hood, IMF Economic Review, growth shocks, housing booms,

This issue of the IMF Research Bulletin opens with a letter from the new editor, Rabah Arezki. The Research Summaries are a "Primer on 'Global Liquidity'" (Eugenio Cerutti, Stijn Claessens, and Lev Ratnovski); and...

Research Summaries: Globalization and Synchronization of Business Cycles

Research Summaries: Globalization and Synchronization of Business Cycles »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin March 2004

Volume/Issue: 5/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 April 2004

ISBN: 9781451929409

Keywords: business cycle, financial integration, advanced countries, international monetary fund, International Financial Institutions, International Monetary Fund (imf), Synchronization,

The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-r...