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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa

Recovery Amid Elevated Uncertainty

The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Apocalypse then
			: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2011/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Trung Bui , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902308.001

ISBN: 9781463902308

Keywords: Financial linkages, financial regulation, banking, bonds, bond, banking systems, financial market, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire...

Benefits of Global and Regional Financial Integration in Latin America

Benefits of Global and Regional Financial Integration in Latin America »

Volume/Issue: 2017/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Eyraud , Diva Singh , and Bennett Sutton

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 January 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475568684.001

ISBN: 9781475568684

Keywords: Latin America, Financial integration, International financial markets, Growth, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

The timing is ripe to pursue greater regional financial integration in Latin America given the withdrawal of some global banks from the region and the weakening of growth prospects. Important initiatives are ongoin...

China's Bond Market and Global Financial Markets

China's Bond Market and Global Financial Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2018/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , and Maurice Obstfeld

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484377475.001

ISBN: 9781484377475

Keywords: Globalization, Asia and Pacific, China, International financial markets, Bond Market, Market Integration, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Business Cycles

A cross-country comparative analysis shows that there is substantial room for further integration of China into global financial markets, especially in the case of the international bond market. A further successfu...

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective »

Volume/Issue: 2010/261

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Thomas Helbling , Ayhan Kose , Christopher Otrok , and Raju Huidrom

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209613.001

ISBN: 9781455209613

Keywords: credit spreads, macroeconomic fluctuations, global recession, recession, recessions, global recessions, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics

This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1-2009:4. We first estimate common components in various macroeconomic and financial variables of th...

Financial Globalization
			: A Reappraisal

Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal »

Volume/Issue: 2006/189

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , Kenneth Rogoff , and Shang-Jin Wei

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864496.001

ISBN: 9781451864496

Keywords: Growth and Volatility, Financial Crises, capital flows, financial globalization, International Economic Order, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels and with a variety of apparently conflicting results. For...

Financial Globalization, Portfolio Diversification, and the Pattern of International Trade

Financial Globalization, Portfolio Diversification, and the Pattern of International Trade »

Volume/Issue: 2003/233

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Miklós Koren

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875614.001

ISBN: 9781451875614

Keywords: financial globalization, trade volume, trade structure, incomplete markets, portfolio choice, financial markets, international financial, Neoclassical Models of Trade, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

The paper provides a general-equilibrium model where incomplete international financial markets lead to insufficient industrial specialization and low international trade. As international portfolio diversification...

Foreign Currency Bank Funding and Global Factors

Foreign Currency Bank Funding and Global Factors »

Volume/Issue: 2018/97

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Signe Krogstrup , and Cédric Tille

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484353660.001

ISBN: 9781484353660

Keywords: Capital flows, Spillovers, Currency mismatch, push factors, cross-border transmission of shocks, European bank balance sheets, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

The literature on the drivers of capital flows stresses the prominent role of global financial factors. Recent empirical work, however, highlights how this role varies across countries and time, and this heterogene...

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate?

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Faezeh Raei , Anna Ignatenko , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 January 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484392928.001

ISBN: 9781484392928

Keywords: Economic integration, Trade, global value chains, gains from trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains (GVC). Recent theoretical work has shown that countries can benefit from participation in GVCs thr...

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows

How Important is the Global Financial Cycle? Evidence from Capital Flows »

Volume/Issue: 2017/193

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , Stijn Claessens , and Andrew Rose

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484316603.001

ISBN: 9781484316603

Keywords: Capital flows, Globalization, Monetary policy, Financial cycles, Panel analysis, Cross-country analysis, Capital market volatility, empirical; data; center; country; panel; fit; VIX; equity; bonds; FDI; credit, empirical, data

This study quantifies the importance of a Global Financial Cycle (GFCy) for capital flows. We use capital flow data dis-aggregated by direction and type between 1990Q1 and 2015Q5 for 85 countries, and conventional...

India's Financial Globalisation

India's Financial Globalisation »

Volume/Issue: 2011/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ila Patnaik , and Ajay Shah

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455211852.001

ISBN: 9781455211852

Keywords: financial globalisation, equity market, financial intermediation, financial system, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

India embarked on reintegration with the world economy in the early 1990s. At first, a certain limited opening took place emphasising equity flows by certain kinds of foreign investors. This opening has had myriad...