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Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eric Monnet , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513564890.001

ISBN: 9781513564890

Keywords: International Business Cycles, Synchronization, business cycle, economies, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, All Countries,

This paper assesses the strength of business cycle synchronization between 1950 and 2014 in a sample of 21 countries using a new quarterly dataset based on IMF archival data. Contrary to the common wisdom, we find...

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions »

Volume/Issue: 2018/250

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , Jane Dokko , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 November 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484385692.001

ISBN: 9781484385692

Keywords: Housing market; global liquidity; financial conditions; banking intergration; business cycles, Housing market, global liquidity, financial conditions, banking intergration, business cycles, General, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Business Cycles

We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border banking flows in re...

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles?

How Does Globalization Affect the Synchronization of Business Cycles? »

Volume/Issue: 2003/27

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Eswar Prasad , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 March 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451844542.001

ISBN: 9781451844542

Keywords: Macroeconomic fluctuations, trade and financial integration, output and consumption comovement, correlations, financial integration, capital flows, correlation, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission,

This paper examines the impact of rising trade and financial integration on international business cycle comovement among a large group of industrial and developing countries. The results provide at best limited su...

How Does the Global Economic Environment Influence the Demand for IMF Resources?

How Does the Global Economic Environment Influence the Demand for IMF Resources? »

Volume/Issue: 2006/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864991.001

ISBN: 9781451864991

Keywords: prediction, IMF lending capacity, IMF income position, probability, current account, predictions, current account balance, credit tranches, Global Outlook, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

The main objective of this paper is to quantify the relationship between the global economic environment and the number of Stand-By Arrangements (SBAs). The results suggest that oil prices, world interest rates, an...

Regionalization vs. Globalization

Regionalization vs. Globalization »

Volume/Issue: 2013/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hideaki Hirata , Ayhan Kose , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557753281.001

ISBN: 9781557753281

Keywords: Comovement, Synchronization, Trade linkages, Financial linkages, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, regional trade, global trade, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models

Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution o...

Risk Taking and Interest Rates
			: Evidence from Decades in the Global Syndicated Loan Market

Risk Taking and Interest Rates : Evidence from Decades in the Global Syndicated Loan Market »

Volume/Issue: 2017/16

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Seung Lee , Lucy Qian Liu , and Viktors Stebunovs

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 January 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475572377.001

ISBN: 9781475572377

Keywords: International financial markets, Regression analysis, Credit risk, Monetary policy, Loans, Interest rates on loans, United States, Spillovers, Syndicated loans, risk taking

We study how low interest rates in the United States affect risk taking in the market of crossborder leveraged corporate loans. To the extent that actions of the Federal Reserve affect U.S. interest rates, our anal...

The Global Financial Crisis
			: An Anatomy of Global Growth

The Global Financial Crisis : An Anatomy of Global Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2013/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484362013.001

ISBN: 9781484362013

Keywords: Growth Synchronization, global shocks, global financial crisis, idiosyncratic shocks, pre-crisis, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The global financial crisis was a stark reminder of the importance of cross-country linkages in the global economy. We document growth synchronization across a diverse group of 185 countries covering 7 regions, and...

The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures by the Systemic Four on Global Liquidity and Monetary Conditions

The Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures by the Systemic Four on Global Liquidity and Monetary Conditions »

Volume/Issue: 2015/287

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yevgeniya Korniyenko , and Elena Loukoianova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513589848.001

ISBN: 9781513589848

Keywords: unconventional monetary policy, capital flows, liquidity, monetary policy, securities, balance sheets, issuance, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Government Policy and Regulation, capital flows.,

The paper examines the impact of unconventional monetary policy measures (UMPMs) implemented since 2008 in the United States, the United Kingdom, Euro area and Japan— the Systemic Four—on global monetary and liquid...

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy
			: An Empirical Exploration

Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy : An Empirical Exploration »

Volume/Issue: 2003/246

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , Marco Terrones , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451875874.001

ISBN: 9781451875874

Keywords: macroeconomic fluctuations, volatility, correlations, globalization period, business cycle, growth rates, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, International Factor Movements and International Business,

This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant de...

Global Liquidity
			: Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets

Global Liquidity : Availability of Funds for Safe and Risky Assets »

Volume/Issue: 2011/136

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Akito Matsumoto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455264452.001

ISBN: 9781455264452

Keywords: world risk-free rate, unconventional monetary policy, liquidity, exchange rate, monetary policy, international reserves, interest rates, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Macroeconomics And Monetary Economics, Money And Interest Rates,

What is global liquidity and how does it affect an economy? The paper addresses that question by looking at liquidity from two different perspectives: global liquidity as availability of funds in safe and risky ass...