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Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation?

Capital Controls or Macroprudential Regulation? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/218

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Anton Korinek , and Damiano Sandri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513506463.001

ISBN: 9781513506463

Keywords: pecuniary externalities, macroprudential regulation, inequality, exchange rate, exchange, lenders, borrowers, markets, International Lending and Debt Problems, Open Economy Macroeconomics

International capital flows can create significant financial instability in emerging economies because of pecuniary externalities associated with exchange rate movements. Does this make it optimal to impose capital...

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility
			: Is World Growth Losing Out?

China's Slowdown and Global Financial Market Volatility : Is World Growth Losing Out? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513590455.001

ISBN: 9781513590455

Keywords: China&;amp;#x2019;s slowdown, global financial market volatility, international business cycle, Global VAR, volatility, market volatility, financial market, trade, global financial market, Time-Series Models

China's GDP growth slowdown and a surge in global financial market volatility could both adversely affect an already weak global economic recovery. To quantify the global macroeconomic consequences of these shocks,...

Emerging Powers and Global Governance
			: Whither the IMF?

Emerging Powers and Global Governance : Whither the IMF? »

Volume/Issue: 2015/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rakesh Mohan , and Muneesh Kapur

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513557403.001

ISBN: 9781513557403

Keywords: Global Governance, quota, economy, economies, global economy, weight, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Institutional Arrangements,

The governance structure in global bodies like the IMF continues to be disproportionally dominated by advanced economies. Sustained rapid growth in emerging and developing economies (EDEs) in the past 2-3 decades h...

Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets

Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2015/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Ebeke , and Annette Kyobe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 June 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513552750.001

ISBN: 9781513552750

Keywords: Financial shocks, EM bond markets, Non-linearity, markets, currency, bond, holdings,

Foreign holdings of emerging markets (EMs) government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. While foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of f...

Global Financial Transmission into Sub-Saharan Africa - A Global Vector Autoregression Analysis

Global Financial Transmission into Sub-Saharan Africa - A Global Vector Autoregression Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2014/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Mehdi Hosseinkouchack , and Alexis Meyer-Cirkel

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 December 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498305051.001

ISBN: 9781498305051

Keywords: GVAR, Financial Transmission, prices, output, commodity, equity, commodity prices, Models with Panel Data, Forecasting and Simulation, Forecasting and Simulation,

Sub-Saharan African countries are exposed to spillovers from global financial variables, but the impact on economic activity is more significant in more financially developed economies. Generalized impulse response...

Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy
			: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies

Global Liquidity, House Prices, and the Macroeconomy : Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2015/23

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi , Luis Felipe Cespedes , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 January 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484346037.001

ISBN: 9781484346037

Keywords: C32, E44, F44, economies, liquidity, advanced economies, exchange rate, Time-Series Models, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Business Cycles

In this paper we first compare house price cycles in advanced and emerging economies using a new quarterly house price data set covering the period 1990-2012. We find that house prices in emerging economies grow fa...

Global Monetary Tightening
			: Emerging Markets Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Crises

Global Monetary Tightening : Emerging Markets Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Crises »

Volume/Issue: 2014/215

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Julio Escolano , Christina Kolerus , and Constant Lonkeng Ngouana

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 December 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475584691.001

ISBN: 9781475584691

Keywords: Debt dynamics, sovereign debt crisis, unconventional, debt, bond, interest, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), International Lending and Debt Problems

This paper finds that tightening global financial conditions can worsen emerging economies' public debt dynamics through an increasing interest rate-growth differential, particularly if coupled with high global ris...

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eric Monnet , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513564890.001

ISBN: 9781513564890

Keywords: International Business Cycles, Synchronization, business cycle, economies, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, All Countries,

This paper assesses the strength of business cycle synchronization between 1950 and 2014 in a sample of 21 countries using a new quarterly dataset based on IMF archival data. Contrary to the common wisdom, we find...

Normalization of Global Financial Conditions
			: The Implications for Brazil

Normalization of Global Financial Conditions : The Implications for Brazil »

Volume/Issue: 2015/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Troy Matheson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 03 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513588117.001

ISBN: 9781513588117

Keywords: Economic news, Vector-autoregression, bond, interest, bond yield, basis points, exchange rate, General,

Global financial conditions are poised to tighten further as the global recovery proceeds. While monetary policy normalization should be a healthy global development as growth continues to recover in advanced econo...

Singapore's Export Elasticities
			: A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity

Singapore's Export Elasticities : A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity »

Volume/Issue: 2016/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , and Gee Hee Hong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513556901.001

ISBN: 9781513556901

Keywords: Trade elasticities, trade structure, global supply chain, economic complexity, trade, value, exports, price, share, Input-Output Analysis

Singapore is one of the world's most open economies, with the size of its trade reaching about 350 percent of its GDP. With the rise of highly diversified cross-border production networks, Singapore has come to pla...