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Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis

Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

This chapter finds that external factors induce significant fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth, explaining about half the variance in their growth rates. Higher growth in advanced...

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

Real interest rates worldwide have declined substantially since the 1980s and are now in slightly negative territory. Common factors account for much of these movements, highlighting the relevan...

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2013 : Transition and Tensions

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 October 2013

ISBN: 9781484340639

Keywords: inflation, current account, capital inflows, current account balance, monetary policy

Global growth is still weak, its underlying dynamics are changing, and the risks to the forecast remain to the downside. As a result, new policy challenges are arising and policy spillovers may...

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2013 : Hopes, Realities, Risks

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 April 2013

ISBN: 9781616355555

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, monetary fund, central bank, financial stability

Global prospects have improved again but the road to recovery in the advanced economies will remain bumpy. World output growth is forecast to reach 3¼ percent in 2013 and 4 percent in 2014 (Tabl...

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2012 : Coping with High Debt and Sluggish Growth

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 October 2012

ISBN: 9781616353896

Keywords: Budget estimates, Adjustment process, Commodity prices, Debt reduction, Euro, public debt, fiscal consolidation, current account, inflation

The global economy has deteriorated further since the release of the July 2012 WEO Update, and growth projections have been marked down (Table 1.1). Downside risks are now judged to...

CHAPTER 1 GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES

CHAPTER 1 GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES »

Source: World Economic Outlook, September 2011 : Slowing Growth, Rising Risks

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2011

ISBN: 9781616351199

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, current account, fiscal policy, fiscal consolidation

Slowing Global Activity Activity has weakened significantly (Figure 1.1), following a number of quarters of growth broadly in line with World Economic Outlook (WEO) projections. The...

CHAPTER 1 GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES

CHAPTER 1 GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2011 : Tensions from the Two-Speed Recovery: Unemployment, Commodities, and Capital Flows

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 April 2011

ISBN: 9781616350598

Keywords: capital flows, net capital flows, private capital flows, inflation

The Recovery Has Solidified, but Unemployment Remains High The global recovery is continuing broadly as anticipated in the October 2010 and January 2011 World Economic Outlook (WEO)...

CHAPTER 3 OIL SCARCITY, GROWTH , AND GLOBAL IMBALANCES

CHAPTER 3 OIL SCARCITY, GROWTH , AND GLOBAL IMBALANCES »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2011 : Tensions from the Two-Speed Recovery: Unemployment, Commodities, and Capital Flows

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 April 2011

ISBN: 9781616350598

Keywords: capital flows, net capital flows, private capital flows, inflation

The persistent increase in oil prices over the past decade suggests that global oil markets have entered a period of increased scarcity. Given the expected rapid gro...

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2009 : Sustaining the Recovery

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 2009

ISBN: 9781589068070

Keywords: monetary policy, current account, inflation, banking crises, banking

The Global Recession Is Ending The global economy appears to be expanding again, pulled up by the strong performance of Asian economies and stabilization or modest recovery elsewhere...

CHAPTER 1. GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES

CHAPTER 1. GLOBAL PROSPECTS AND POLICIES »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2008 : Financial Stress, Downturns, and Recoveries

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 October 2008

ISBN: 9781589067585

Keywords: inflation, current account, fiscal policy, monetary policy, commodity prices

This chapter opens with an overview of a global economy under stress. It then examines the expanding financial crisis and its macroeconomic implications in more detail, as well as the imbalances in housing a...