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Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets

Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2018/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rudolfs Bems , Francesca Caselli , Francesco Grigoli , Bertrand Gruss , and Weicheng Lian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484381595.001

ISBN: 9781484381595

Keywords: Globalization, Inflation, Emerging markets, Inflation expectations, Central banks and their policies, Phillips Curve, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's...

Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets*

Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets* »

Source: Is Inflation Domestic or Global? Evidence from Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2018/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rudolfs Bems , Francesca Caselli , Francesco Grigoli , Bertrand Gruss , and Weicheng Lian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 November 2018

ISBN: 9781484381595

Keywords: Globalization, Inflation, Emerging markets, Inflation expectations, Central banks and their policies, Phillips Curve, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

Following a period of disinflation during the 1990s and early 2000s, inflation in emerging markets has remained remarkably low and stable. Was this related to a global disinflation environment triggered by China's...

Chapter 3 Challenges for Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets as Global Financial Conditions Normalize

Chapter 3 Challenges for Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets as Global Financial Conditions Normalize »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2018 : Challenges to Steady Growth

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484376799

Keywords: Inflation rates, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Inflation research, Inflation risk, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Gross domestric product growth, Output growth, Global Financial Stability Risks, International trade

Inflation in emerging market and developing economies since the mid-2000s has, on average, been low and stable. This chapter investigates whether these recent gains in inflation performance are...

Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1: Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2018 : Challenges to Steady Growth

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484376799

Keywords: Inflation rates, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Inflation research, Inflation risk, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Gross domestric product growth, Output growth, Global Financial Stability Risks, International trade

Global growth for 2018–19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and it has become less balanced. Downside risks to global growth...

Chapter 2: The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After the 2008 Financial Meltdown

Chapter 2: The Global Economic Recovery 10 Years After the 2008 Financial Meltdown »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2018 : Challenges to Steady Growth

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 October 2018

ISBN: 9781484376799

Keywords: Inflation rates, Inflation, Inflation targeting, Inflation research, Inflation risk, Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, Gross domestric product growth, Output growth, Global Financial Stability Risks, International trade

This chapter takes stock of the global economic recovery a decade after the 2008 financial crisis. Output losses after the crisis appear to be persistent, irrespective of whether a country suffe...

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses*

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses* »

Source: Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 2017/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Woon Choi , Taesu Kang , Geun-Young Kim , and Byongju Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

ISBN: 9781484325216

Keywords: Global liquidity, Inflation targeting, Panel Factor-Augmented VAR, International Policy Coordination and Transmission

This paper distills and identifies global liquidity (GL) momenta from the macro-financial data of advanced economies through a factor model with sign restrictions as policy-driven, market-driven, and risk aversenes...

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses »

Volume/Issue: 2017/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Woon Choi , Taesu Kang , Geun-Young Kim , and Byongju Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484325216.001

ISBN: 9781484325216

Keywords: Global liquidity, Inflation targeting, Panel Factor-Augmented VAR, International Policy Coordination and Transmission

This paper distills and identifies global liquidity (GL) momenta from the macro-financial data of advanced economies through a factor model with sign restrictions as policy-driven, market-driven, and risk aversenes...

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2017 : Gaining Momentum?

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 April 2017

ISBN: 9781475564655

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, Income inequality, National income, Distribution of income, External activities, Gross domestric product growth, Growth acceleration, Growth deceleration, Output growth, Investment

Global economic activity is picking up with a long-awaited cyclical recovery in investment, manufacturing, and trade. World growth is expected to rise from 3.1 percent in 2016 to 3.5 percent in...

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve? »

Source: Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Volume/Issue: 2016/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Laseen , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498348645

Keywords: Phillips curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Financial Frictions, Conditional Forecast, Regime Switching and Bayesian Estimation.

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this empirical paper, we use multivariate, possibly time-varying, time-series models...

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Laseen , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498348645.001

ISBN: 9781498348645

Keywords: Phillips curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Financial Frictions, Conditional Forecast, Regime Switching and Bayesian Estimation.

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this empirical paper, we use multivariate, possibly time-varying, time-series models...