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World Economic Outlook, April 2018

Cyclical Upswing, Structural Change

The upswing in global investment and trade continued in the second half of 2017, but medium-term risks point to challenges for future growth.

World Economic Outlook, April 2018

Cyclical Upswing, Structural Change

The upswing in global investment and trade continued in the second half of 2017, but medium-term risks point to challenges for future growth.

5. Poverty and Inequality in Latin America: Gains during the Commodity Boom but an Uncertain Outlook

5. Poverty and Inequality in Latin America: Gains during the Commodity Boom but an Uncertain Outlook »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department : Seizing the Momentum

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 May 2018

ISBN: 9781484339879

Latin America has made impressive progress in reducing inequality and poverty since the turn of the century, although it remains the most unequal region in the world. The declines in inequality...

1. A Synchronized Global Upturn and the Outlook for the United States and Canada

1. A Synchronized Global Upturn and the Outlook for the United States and Canada »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department : Seizing the Momentum

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 May 2018

ISBN: 9781484339879

The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinf...

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2018
			: A Bumpy Road Ahead

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2018 : A Bumpy Road Ahead »

Series: Global Financial Stability Report

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484338292.082

ISBN: 9781484338292

Keywords: Global Financial Stability Report, Global Financial Stability Report, global financial stability, crypto assets, financial risks, risks to growth, financial vulnerabilities

The April 2018 Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) finds that short-term risks to financial stability have increased somewhat since the previous GFSR. Medium-term risks are still elevated as financial vulnera...

The Global Macrofinancial Model

The Global Macrofinancial Model »

Volume/Issue: 2018/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484350706.001

ISBN: 9781484350706

Keywords: Monetary policy; Fiscal policy; Macroprudential policy; Spillovers; Forecasting; Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model; World economy

This paper documents the theoretical structure and empirical properties of the latest version of the Global Macrofinancial Model (GFM). This dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world economy, disagg...

The Global Macrofinancial Model

The Global Macrofinancial Model »

Source: The Global Macrofinancial Model

Volume/Issue: 2018/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francis Vitek

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484350706

Keywords: Monetary policy; Fiscal policy; Macroprudential policy; Spillovers; Forecasting; Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model; World economy

This paper documents the theoretical structure and empirical properties of the latest version of the Global Macrofinancial Model (GFM). This dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the world economy, disagg...

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective »

Source: Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2018/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Nico Valckx

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484349861

Keywords: Household debt; financial crises; neglected crash risk; leverage; macro-financial stability, Household debt, financial crises, neglected crash risk, leverage, macro-financial stability, Forecasting and Simulation, General

We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950-2016. Three mutually reinforcing mecha...

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective »

Volume/Issue: 2018/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Nico Valckx

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484349861.001

ISBN: 9781484349861

Keywords: Household debt; financial crises; neglected crash risk; leverage; macro-financial stability, Household debt, financial crises, neglected crash risk, leverage, macro-financial stability, Forecasting and Simulation, General

We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950-2016. Three mutually reinforcing mecha...

The Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Financial Globalization: Evidence from Macro and Sectoral Data

The Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Financial Globalization: Evidence from Macro and Sectoral Data »

Volume/Issue: 2018/83

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Prakash Loungani , and Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484350898.001

ISBN: 9781484350898

Keywords: Globalization, Inequality, Capital Account Openness, Crises, Institutions

We take a fresh look at the aggregate and distributional effects of policies to liberalize international capital flows-financial globalization. Both country- and industry-level results suggest that such policies ha...

Globalization and the New Normal

Globalization and the New Normal »

Volume/Issue: 2018/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alina Carare , Bertrand Candelon , Jean-Baptiste Hasse , and Jing Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484350645.001

ISBN: 9781484350645

Keywords: New Normal, Globalization, Financial crises, Banking crises, Output growth

This study expands the empirical specification of Cerra and Saxena (2008), and allows short-term output growth regimes to be determined by globalization. Relying on a non-linear dynamic panel representation, it rec...

Globalization and the New Normal

Globalization and the New Normal »

Source: Globalization and the New Normal

Volume/Issue: 2018/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alina Carare , Bertrand Candelon , Jean-Baptiste Hasse , and Jing Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

ISBN: 9781484350645

Keywords: New Normal, Globalization, Financial crises, Banking crises, Output growth

This study expands the empirical specification of Cerra and Saxena (2008), and allows short-term output growth regimes to be determined by globalization. Relying on a non-linear dynamic panel representation, it rec...