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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa

Recovery Amid Elevated Uncertainty

The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018.

Global Financial Stability Report, April 2019

Vulnerabilities in a Maturing Credit Cycle

The April 2019 GFSR finds that despite significant variability over the past two quarters, financial conditions remain accommodative.

Globalization and the New Normal

Globalization and the New Normal »

Volume/Issue: 2018/75

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alina Carare , Bertrand Candelon , Jean-Baptiste Hasse , and Jing Lu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484350645.001

ISBN: 9781484350645

Keywords: New Normal, Globalization, Financial crises, Banking crises, Output growth

This study expands the empirical specification of Cerra and Saxena (2008), and allows short-term output growth regimes to be determined by globalization. Relying on a non-linear dynamic panel representation, it rec...

The Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Financial Globalization: Evidence from Macro and Sectoral Data

The Aggregate and Distributional Effects of Financial Globalization: Evidence from Macro and Sectoral Data »

Volume/Issue: 2018/83

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Davide Furceri , Prakash Loungani , and Jonathan Ostry

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484350898.001

ISBN: 9781484350898

Keywords: Globalization, Inequality, Capital Account Openness, Crises, Institutions

We take a fresh look at the aggregate and distributional effects of policies to liberalize international capital flows-financial globalization. Both country- and industry-level results suggest that such policies ha...

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective »

Volume/Issue: 2018/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adrian Alter , Alan Xiaochen Feng , and Nico Valckx

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 April 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484349861.001

ISBN: 9781484349861

Keywords: Household debt; financial crises; neglected crash risk; leverage; macro-financial stability, Household debt, financial crises, neglected crash risk, leverage, macro-financial stability, Forecasting and Simulation, General

We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950-2016. Three mutually reinforcing mecha...

Financial Development and Inclusion in the Caribbean

Financial Development and Inclusion in the Caribbean »

Volume/Issue: 2018/53

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Chuan Li , and Joyce Wong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 March 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345306.001

ISBN: 9781484345306

Keywords: Caribbean, Financial systems, Jamaica, Latin America, Western Hemisphere, Financial inclusion, Financial Development, General, Government Policy and Regulation, General

Many Caribbean financial systems are relatively well developed for their size but benefits are concentrated in a small part of the population. In several large countries, the financial development levels are below...

The Distribution of Gains from Globalization

The Distribution of Gains from Globalization »

Volume/Issue: 2018/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valentin Lang , and Marina Mendes Tavares

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 March 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484347065.001

ISBN: 9781484347065

Keywords: Globalization, Growth, Inequality, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts, Globalization: Economic Development

We study economic globalization as a multidimensional process and investigate its effect on incomes. In a panel of 147 countries during 1970-2014, we apply a new instrumental variable, exploiting globalization's ge...

The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend?

The Global Banking Network: What is Behind the Increasing Regionalization Trend? »

Volume/Issue: 2018/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eugenio Cerutti , and Haonan Zhou

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 March 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345177.001

ISBN: 9781484345177

Keywords: Cross-border banking, International financial markets, Econometric models, Globalization, Cross country analysis, Cross-border Lending, Banking Network, Financial Regionalization, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

This paper analyses the nature of the increasing regionalization process in global banking. Despite the large decline in aggregate cross-border banking lending volumes, some parts of the global banking network are...

What is Driving Women's Financial Inclusion Across Countries?

What is Driving Women's Financial Inclusion Across Countries? »

Volume/Issue: 2018/38

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Corinne Delechat , Monique Newiak , Rui Xu , Fan Yang , and Goksu Aslan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 March 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484344460.001

ISBN: 9781484344460

Keywords: Financial inclusion, Gender, Personal finance, Legal rights, Government Policy and Regulation, Economics of Gender

Using a broad set of macroeconomic country characteristics to supplement a new and comprehensive micro-level dataset for 140 countries, we identify structural factors, policies, and individual characteristics that...

Inequality and Poverty across Generations in the European Union

Inequality and Poverty across Generations in the European Union »

Volume/Issue: 2018/1

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Tingyun Chen , Jean-Jacques Hallaert , Alexander Pitt , Haonan Qu , Maximilien Queyranne , Alaina Rhee , Anna Shabunina , Jérôme Vandenbussche , and Irene Yackovlev

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484338445.006

ISBN: 9781484338445

Keywords: Fiscal policy, Labor market policy, Labor policy, Income inequality, Poverty and inequality, Inequality, Poverty, Europe, Redistribution

This SDN studies the evolution of inequality across age groups leading up to and since the global financial crisis, as well as implications for fiscal and labor policies. Europe's population is aging, child and you...

Can Countries Manage Their Financial Conditions Amid Globalization?

Can Countries Manage Their Financial Conditions Amid Globalization? »

Volume/Issue: 2018/15

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicolas Arregui , Selim Elekdag , R. Gelos , Romain Lafarguette , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484338612.001

ISBN: 9781484338612

Keywords: Monetary policy, Financial conditions, international policy transmission, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General, General, General

This paper examines the evolving importance of common global components underlying domestic financial conditions. It develops financial conditions indices (FCIs) that make it possible to compare a large set of adva...

Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies
			: Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country

Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies : Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country »

Volume/Issue: 2018/13

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mircea Epure , Irina Mihai , Camelia Minoiu , and José-Luis Peydró

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484338599.001

ISBN: 9781484338599

Keywords: Household credit, Romania, Europe, Central banks and their policies, macroprudential policies, global financial cycle, cross-border spillovers, General

We analyze the effects of macroprudential policies on local bank credit cycles and interactions with international financial conditions. For identification, we exploit the comprehensive credit register containing a...