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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Balance Sheet Strength and Bank Lending During the Global Financial Crisis1

Balance Sheet Strength and Bank Lending During the Global Financial Crisis1 »

Source: Balance Sheet Strength and Bank Lending During the Global Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2013/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tümer Kapan , and Camelia Minoiu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 May 2013

ISBN: 9781484315842

Keywords: bank lending channel, wholesale funding, net stable funding ratio, Basel III, bank capital, banking, return on assets, liquid asset, bank balance sheet, Government Policy and Regulation,

We examine the role of bank balance sheet strength in the transmission of financial sector shocks to the real economy. Using data from the syndicated loan market, we exploit variation in banks’ reliance on w...

Bilateral Financial Linkages and Global Imbalances

Bilateral Financial Linkages and Global Imbalances »

Source: Bilateral Financial Linkages and Global Imbalances : a View on The Eve of the Financial Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2010/257

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gian Milesi-Ferretti , Natalia Tamirisa , and Francesco Strobbe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209576

Keywords: International financial integration, claims, fdi, portfolio investment, foreign exchange reserves,

We present a novel and comprehensive dataset of bilateral gross and net external positions in various financial instruments for the main advanced and emerging economies and regions, designed to improve our understa...

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1 »

Source: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Volume/Issue: 2010/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205264

Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...

Can You Map Global Financial Stability?

Can You Map Global Financial Stability? »

Source: Can You Map Global Financial Stability?

Volume/Issue: 2010/145

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaume Puig , Ken Miyajima , Rebecca McCaughrin , and Peter Dattels

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201280

Keywords: Early-warning indicator, inflation, bond, financial system, financial markets, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Financial Economics: General, Public Economics: General

The Global Financial Stability Map was developed as a tool to interpret the risks and conditions that impact financial stability in a graphical manner. It complements other existing tools for assessing financial st...

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets »

Source: Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

Volume/Issue: 2006/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Matthew Merritt , and Shaun Roache

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2006

ISBN: 9781451864540

Keywords: Arbitrage pricing theory, risk prices, asset pricing, exchange rate, currency risk, exchange risk, foreign exchange risk, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedgi...

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession »

Source: Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Volume/Issue: 2010/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kei-Mu Yi , Rudolfs Bems , and Robert Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201259

Keywords: Demand spillovers, trade collapse, input-output model, trade elasticity, domestic demand, intermediate goods, world trade, goods imports, global trade, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world trade to GDP during the global recession of 2008-2009. We find that 20-30 percent of the decline i...

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy*

The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy* »

Source: The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy

Volume/Issue: 2012/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Cashin , Kamiar Mohaddes , Mehdi Raissi , and Maziar Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 October 2012

ISBN: 9781475597158

Keywords: Global VAR (GVAR), global macroeconomic modeling, impulse responses, international business cycle, oil-demand and oil-supply shocks, oil exporters, exporters, oil prices, exporting countries, Time-Series Models

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-dr...

Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?

Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area? »

Source: Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?

Volume/Issue: 2009/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , and Thomas Harjes

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2009

ISBN: 9781451871647

Keywords: Global excess liquidity, interest rate channel, forecasting accuracy, price level, money stock, monetary aggregates,

Global excess liquidity is sometimes believed to limit sovereign monetary policy even in large economies, including the euro area. There is much discussion about what constitutes global excess liquidity and our app...

The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth »

Source: The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

Volume/Issue: 2005/209

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicoletta Batini , Alessandro Rebucci , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2005

ISBN: 9781451862287

Keywords: Global External Imbalance, Productivity Growth, Macroeconomic Models, current account, world economy, government debt, current account surplus, intermediate goods, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Japan is facing a sizable fiscal imbalance against a backdrop of weak trend growth and growing external imbalances in the world economy. This paper examines the possible impact of fiscal adjustment and productivity...