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A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies

A Global Projection Model for Euro Area Large Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2015/50

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zoltan Jakab , Pavel Lukyantsau , and Shengzu Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498399609.001

ISBN: 9781498399609

Keywords: Global projection model, inflation, interest rate, economies, demand, exchange rate, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. This paper creates a special version of GPM that includes the four largest Euro Area (EA) countries. The...

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns »

Volume/Issue: 2005/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Del Negro , and Robin Brooks

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451860719.001

ISBN: 9781451860719

Keywords: Diversification, risk, stock returns, standard deviation, equation, standard deviations, correlation,

We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks...

A network analysis of global banking
			: 1978-2009

A network analysis of global banking : 1978-2009 »

Volume/Issue: 2011/74

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Javier Reyes , and Camelia Minoiu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455227051.001

ISBN: 9781455227051

Keywords: cross-border bank lending, network analysis, banking, banking crises, banking statistics, contagion, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, International Lending and Debt Problems,

In this paper we explore the properties of the global banking network using cross-border bank lending data for 184 countries over 1978-2009. Specifically, we analyze financial interconnectedness using network metri...

After the Crisis
			: Lower Consumption Growth But Narrower Global Imbalances?

After the Crisis : Lower Consumption Growth But Narrower Global Imbalances? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/11

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Franziska Ohnsorge , and Ashoka Mody

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451961966.001

ISBN: 9781451961966

Keywords: current account adjustment, consumption growth, disposable income, household wealth, income growth, private consumption,

We estimate consumption dynamics in the G-7 economies, paying particular attention to the possibility of precautionary behavior in the face of uncertainty. We find that in the short run, continued income uncertaint...

Apocalypse then
			: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2011/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Trung Bui , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902308.001

ISBN: 9781463902308

Keywords: Financial linkages, financial regulation, banking, bonds, bond, banking systems, financial market, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire...

Destabilizing the Global Monetary System: Germany's Adoption of the Gold Standard in the Early 1870s

Destabilizing the Global Monetary System: Germany's Adoption of the Gold Standard in the Early 1870s »

Volume/Issue: 2019/32

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Johannes Wiegand

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 February 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484394724.001

ISBN: 9781484394724

Keywords: Currency reform, Fixed exchange rates, Exchange rate regimes, Currency question, Gold, Bimetallism;Gold Standard;France;Germany;Flandreau;specie;silver specie;gold currency

In 1871-73, newly unified Germany adopted the gold standard, replacing the silver-based currencies that had been prevalent in most German states until then. The reform sparked a series of steps in other countries t...

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective »

Volume/Issue: 2010/261

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Thomas Helbling , Ayhan Kose , Christopher Otrok , and Raju Huidrom

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455209613.001

ISBN: 9781455209613

Keywords: credit spreads, macroeconomic fluctuations, global recession, recession, recessions, global recessions, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics

This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1-2009:4. We first estimate common components in various macroeconomic and financial variables of th...

France in the Global Economy
			: A Structural Approximate Dynamic Factor Model Analysis

France in the Global Economy : A Structural Approximate Dynamic Factor Model Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2007/129

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francisco Nadal De Simone , and Alain Kabundi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451866933.001

ISBN: 9781451866933

Keywords: Dynamic factor models, international business cycles, sign restrictions, fixed capital formation, capital formation, balance of payments, terms of trade, fixed investment,

This study identifies the main shocks that cause fluctuations in French output and their channels of transmission. It uses a large-dimensional structural approximate dynamic factor model. There are three main findi...

French Banks Amid the Global Financial Crisis

French Banks Amid the Global Financial Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2009/201

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yingbin Xiao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873481.001

ISBN: 9781451873481

Keywords: French banks, debt guarantee, government support, refinancing, banking, capital adequacy, subordinated debt, Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation, General Financial Markets,

This paper runs the gamut of qualitative and quantitative analyses to examine the performance of French banks during 2006-2008 and the financial support measures taken by the French government. French banks were no...

Global Aging Pressures
			: Impact of Fiscal Adjustment, Policy Cooperation, and Structural Reforms

Global Aging Pressures : Impact of Fiscal Adjustment, Policy Cooperation, and Structural Reforms »

Volume/Issue: 2007/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manmohan Kumar , and Dennis Botman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451867602.001

ISBN: 9781451867602

Keywords: Global aging, fiscal cooperation, Lisbon Agenda, IMF&;amp;#x2019;s Global Fiscal Mode, aging, social security, government spending, fiscal variables,

Demographic pressures will materialize in many economies over the next few decades. We examine the macroeconomic impact of alternative fiscal adjustment and structural reform strategies to address these global agin...