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Adding China to the Global Projection Model1

Adding China to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding China to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2013/256

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrick Blagrave , Peter Elliott , Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Hostland , Douglas Laxton , and Fan Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484317631

Keywords: Global Macroeconomic Model, inflation target, real interest rate, General, Global Outlook, General,

We extend the Global Projection Model (GPM) to include a separate block for China. China plays an important role in shaping global economic outcomes, given its sheer size and trade integration with other key econom...

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model1 »

Source: Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Can You Map Global Financial Stability?

Can You Map Global Financial Stability? »

Source: Can You Map Global Financial Stability?

Volume/Issue: 2010/145

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaume Puig , Ken Miyajima , Rebecca McCaughrin , and Peter Dattels

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201280

Keywords: Early-warning indicator, inflation, bond, financial system, financial markets, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Financial Economics: General, Public Economics: General

The Global Financial Stability Map was developed as a tool to interpret the risks and conditions that impact financial stability in a graphical manner. It complements other existing tools for assessing financial st...

Did Korean Monetary Policy Help Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009?

Did Korean Monetary Policy Help Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009? »

Source: Did Korean Monetary Policy Help Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009?

Volume/Issue: 2012/5

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Subir Lall , Selim Elekdag , and Harun Alp

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463930547

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, Korea, emerging economies, exchange rate, inflation, economy,

Korea was one of the Asian economies hardest hit by the global financial crisis. Anticipating the downturn that would follow the episode of extreme financial stress, the Bank of Korea (BOK) let the exchange rate de...

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve? »

Source: Did the Global Financial Crisis Break the U.S. Phillips Curve?

Volume/Issue: 2016/126

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Stefan Laseen , and Marzie Taheri Sanjani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2016

ISBN: 9781498348645

Keywords: Phillips curve, Inflation, Unemployment, Financial Frictions, Conditional Forecast, Regime Switching and Bayesian Estimation.

Inflation dynamics, as well as its interaction with unemployment, have been puzzling since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). In this empirical paper, we use multivariate, possibly time-varying, time-series models...

Global Commodity Prices, Monetary Transmission, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Pacific Islands

Global Commodity Prices, Monetary Transmission, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Pacific Islands »

Source: Global Commodity Prices, Monetary Transmission, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through in the Pacific Islands

Volume/Issue: 2012/176

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shanaka Peiris , and Ding Ding

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2012

ISBN: 9781475505245

Keywords: exchange rate, inflation, exchange rate targeting, monetary transmission, And Monetary Policy,

Pacific Islands countries are vulnerable to commodity price shocks, and this poses challenges to monetary policy. The high degree of exchange rate pass-through to headline inflation and the weak monetary transmissi...

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates »

Source: Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Volume/Issue: 2013/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mirko Abbritti , Salvatore Dell'Erba , Antonio Moreno , and Sergio Sola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 November 2013

ISBN: 9781475513516

Keywords: Yield Curve, Global Factors, FAVAR, Affine Term Structure Models, Term Premium, inflation, monetary economics, expansionary monetary policy, monetary policies, Time-Series Models

This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more...

Global House Price Fluctuations

Global House Price Fluctuations »

Source: Global House Price Fluctuations : Synchronization and Determinants

Volume/Issue: 2013/38

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hideaki Hirata , Ayhan Kose , Christopher Otrok , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475523621

Keywords: globalization, globalization period, inflation, long-term interest rates, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Housing Supply and Markets,

We examine the properties of house price fluctuations across 18 advanced economies over the past 40 years. We ask two specific questions: First, how synchronized are housing cycles across these countries? Second, w...

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses*

Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses* »

Source: Global Liquidity Transmission to Emerging Market Economies, and Their Policy Responses

Volume/Issue: 2017/222

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Woon Choi , Taesu Kang , Geun-Young Kim , and Byongju Lee

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 October 2017

ISBN: 9781484325216

Keywords: Global liquidity, Inflation targeting, Panel Factor-Augmented VAR, International Policy Coordination and Transmission

This paper distills and identifies global liquidity (GL) momenta from the macro-financial data of advanced economies through a factor model with sign restrictions as policy-driven, market-driven, and risk aversenes...