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Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model

Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model »

Volume/Issue: 2009/253

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Garcia-Saltos , Douglas Laxton , Michal Andrle , Haris Munandar , Charles Freedman , and Danny Hermawan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451941715.001

ISBN: 9781451941715

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, rate of inflation, real interest rate, Model Construction and Estimation,

This is the fifth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which ec...

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model

Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model »

Volume/Issue: 2009/85

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451872323.001

ISBN: 9781451872323

Keywords: Macroeconomic Modeling, Bayesian Estimation, inflation, equation, forecasting, real interest rate,

This is the fourth of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit to which e...

Can You Map Global Financial Stability?

Can You Map Global Financial Stability? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/145

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaume Puig , Ken Miyajima , Rebecca McCaughrin , and Peter Dattels

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201280.001

ISBN: 9781455201280

Keywords: Early-warning indicator, inflation, bond, financial system, financial markets, Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook: General, Financial Economics: General, Public Economics: General

The Global Financial Stability Map was developed as a tool to interpret the risks and conditions that impact financial stability in a graphical manner. It complements other existing tools for assessing financial st...

Perspectiveson Low Global Interest Rates

Perspectiveson Low Global Interest Rates »

Volume/Issue: 2006/76

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Catão , and George Mackenzie

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451863369.001

ISBN: 9781451863369

Keywords: World interest rates, global saving, bond, inflation, real interest rates, real interest rate, bonds, International Finance: General,

This paper looks at the dramatic decline in global real interest rates in recent years from a historical perspective and examines the various factors that may account for this trend. We show that current levels of...

Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity
			: A Global Guide to Where the Action Is

Deviations From Uncovered Interest Parity : A Global Guide to Where the Action Is »

Volume/Issue: 1998/117

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Evan Tanner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451941647.001

ISBN: 9781451941647

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange rate, inflation, exchange rates, real exchange rates

Ex-post deviations from uncovered interest parity (UIP) – realized differences between dollar returns on identical assets of different currencies – equal the real interest differential plus real excha...

Does Financial Globalization Induce Better Macroeconomic Policies?

Does Financial Globalization Induce Better Macroeconomic Policies? »

Volume/Issue: 2004/84

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shang-Jin Wei , and Irina Tytell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451850673.001

ISBN: 9781451850673

Keywords: Discipline effect, mood swings, deficit, financial globalization, foreign assets, and deficit,

Monetary and fiscal policies around the world are in better shape today than two decades ago. This paper studies whether financial globalization has helped induce governments to pursue better macroeconomic policies...

Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?

Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area? »

Volume/Issue: 2009/17

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helge Berger , and Thomas Harjes

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451871647.001

ISBN: 9781451871647

Keywords: Global excess liquidity, interest rate channel, forecasting accuracy, price level, money stock, monetary aggregates,

Global excess liquidity is sometimes believed to limit sovereign monetary policy even in large economies, including the euro area. There is much discussion about what constitutes global excess liquidity and our app...

Getting to Know GIMF
			: The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model

Getting to Know GIMF : The Simulation Properties of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model »

Volume/Issue: 2013/55

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Derek Anderson , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , Michael Kumhof , Douglas Laxton , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 February 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475559415.001

ISBN: 9781475559415

Keywords: business cycle, fiscal multipliers, general equilibrium models, interest rates, macroeconomic interdependence, policy effects, simulation, inflation, real interest rate, real interest rates

The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is a multi-region, forward-looking, DSGE model developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis and international economic research....

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates »

Volume/Issue: 2013/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mirko Abbritti , Salvatore Dell'Erba , Antonio Moreno , and Sergio Sola

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 November 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475513516.001

ISBN: 9781475513516

Keywords: Yield Curve, Global Factors, FAVAR, Affine Term Structure Models, Term Premium, inflation, monetary economics, expansionary monetary policy, monetary policies, Time-Series Models

This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more...

Global Food Price Inflation and Policy Responses in Central Asia

Global Food Price Inflation and Policy Responses in Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2012/86

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502497.001

ISBN: 9781475502497

Keywords: central bank, monetary fund, price stability, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation, Kyrgyzstan, Food Price Shocks, Policy Responses,

This paper examines the implications of elevated global food prices for inflation in select Central Asian economies - Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The findings suggest that global fo...