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Chapter 11. A Complex Affair: Global and National Cycles

Chapter 11. A Complex Affair: Global and National Cycles »

Source: Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

Chapter Epigraphs The 2009 global recession forced a reconsideration of the linkages between the global business cycle and national cycles. Some countries were able t...

Chapter 2. Global Cycles: Toward a Better Understanding

Chapter 2. Global Cycles: Toward a Better Understanding »

Source: Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

Chapter Epigraphs The U.S. baseball season culminates in a championship called the World Series, reflecting a time when the United States was the world when it came t...

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1 Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2009 : Crisis and Recovery

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 April 2009

ISBN: 9781589068063

Keywords: recessions, recession, emerging economies, financial crisis, financial crises

Figure 1.1. Global Indicators 1 (Annual percent change unless otherwise noted) The global econo...

Chapter 5. Global Recessions: Sad Stories of Collapse

Chapter 5. Global Recessions: Sad Stories of Collapse »

Source: Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

Chapter Epigraphs The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development… sharply cut its forecast for the world economy, warning that failure t...

Chapter 6. Global Recoveries: Tales of Revival

Chapter 6. Global Recoveries: Tales of Revival »

Source: Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

Chapter Epigraphs The recovery on which the fate of so many businesses depends has faltered in most major economies. Bankruptcies break new records. The revival in de...

Collapse and Revival
			: Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries

Collapse and Revival : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries »

Series: Books

Author(s): Ayhan Kose , and Marco Terrones

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 December 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513570020.071

ISBN: 9781513570020

Keywords: Economic recession, global recession; business cycles; recession and recovery; financial globalization

As the debates about the recent global recession and the subsequent recovery have clearly shown, our understanding of these questions has been very limited. This comprehensive text puts the latest global recessio...

The Distributional Impact of Recessions: the Global Financial Crisis and the Pandemic Recession1

The Distributional Impact of Recessions: the Global Financial Crisis and the Pandemic Recession1 »

Source: The Distributional Impact of Recessions: the Global Financial Crisis and the Pandemic Recession

Volume/Issue: 2020/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ippei Shibata

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 June 2020

ISBN: 9781513546759

Keywords: Financial crises, Economic theory, Unemployment, Demographic indicators, Labor force, Labor Market Dynamics, Current Population Survey, COVID-19 Pandemic, Gross Worker Flows, Distributional Impact

Using the U.S. Current Population Survey data, this paper compares the distributional impacts of the Pandemic Crisis and those of the Global Financial Crisis in terms of (i) worker characteristics, (ii) job charact...

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective »

Source: Do Credit Shocks Matter? A Global Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2010/261

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Thomas Helbling , Ayhan Kose , Christopher Otrok , and Raju Huidrom

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2010

ISBN: 9781455209613

Keywords: credit spreads, macroeconomic fluctuations, global recession, recession, recessions, global recessions, financial markets, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics

This paper examines the importance of credit market shocks in driving global business cycles over the period 1988:1-2009:4. We first estimate common components in various macroeconomic and financial variables of th...

Globalization and Catching-Up

Globalization and Catching-Up »

Source: Globalization and Catching-Up : From Recession to Growth in Transition Economies

Volume/Issue: 2000/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Grzegorz Kolodko

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2000

ISBN: 9781451852394

Keywords: transition, institution-building, recession, growth, transition countries, gdp per capita, external shocks

The transitional recession in countries of Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union has lasted much longer than expected. The legacy of the past and recent policy mistakes have both contributed to the slow progre...

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring »

Source: Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Volume/Issue: 2011/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): S. Boragan Aruoba , Marco Terrones , Ayhan Kose , and Francis Diebold

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455216727

Keywords: Expansion, Contraction, Recession, Turning Point, Dynamic factor model, Nowcasting, Real-time analysis, business cycle, business cycles, correlations

We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observati...