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CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth?

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth? »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Spillover Effects in the Recovery To what extent will a change in the global environment lead to a recovery, and how quickly? The global economy would seem to be on its way to provid...

Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis

Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

This chapter finds that external factors induce significant fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth, explaining about half the variance in their growth rates. Higher growth in advanced...

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

Real interest rates worldwide have declined substantially since the 1980s and are now in slightly negative territory. Common factors account for much of these movements, highlighting the relevan...

Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries »

Source: Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Volume/Issue: 2012/089

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department;International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.;International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.;International Monetary Fund. African Dept.;International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 October 2012

ISBN: 9781498339766

Keywords: Capital inflows, Commodity price fluctuations, Cross country analysis, Economic indicators, External shocks, Fiscal policy, Fiscal risk, Foreign direct investment, Inward remittances, Low-income developing countries

The rapid recovery in many low-income countries (LICs) following the global crisis has been sustained in 2012. Softening commodity prices have led to moderating inflation pressures in most LICs. However, progress i...

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century »

Source: Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century

Volume/Issue: 2000/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): N. Crafts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451846409

Keywords: Growth, convergence, tfp, growth rates, real gdp, growth accounting

This paper reviews the experience of economic growth during the twentieth century with a view to highlighting implications for both growth economists and policy-makers. The unprecedented divergence in income levels...

Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries

Global Risks, Vulnerabilities, and Policy Challenges Facing Low-Income Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2012/089

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department;International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.;International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.;International Monetary Fund. African Dept.;International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498339766.007

ISBN: 9781498339766

Keywords: Capital inflows, Commodity price fluctuations, Cross country analysis, Economic indicators, External shocks, Fiscal policy, Fiscal risk, Foreign direct investment, Inward remittances, Low-income developing countries

The rapid recovery in many low-income countries (LICs) following the global crisis has been sustained in 2012. Softening commodity prices have led to moderating inflation pressures in most LICs. However, progress i...

Predictive Density Aggregation: A Model for Global GDP Growth

Predictive Density Aggregation: A Model for Global GDP Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2020/78

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francesca Caselli , Francesco Grigoli , Romain Lafarguette , and Changchun Wang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513545653.001

ISBN: 9781513545653

Keywords: Real effective exchange rates, Indicators of economic activity, Economic growth, Economic indicators, Economic policy, Density aggregation, density evaluation, global GDP growth, predictive density., WP

In this paper we propose a novel approach to obtain the predictive density of global GDP growth. It hinges upon a bottom-up probabilistic model that estimates and combines single countries' predictive GDP growth de...

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe
			: A Global VAR Analysis

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe : A Global VAR Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2013/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yan Sun , Frigyes Heinz , and Giang Ho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345474.001

ISBN: 9781484345474

Keywords: Euro Area, Europe, Emerging markets, Economic models, Economic integration, Cross country analysis, Developed countries, Spillover, Global VAR, regional model

This paper uses the Global VAR (GVAR) model proposed by Pesaran et al. (2004) to study cross-country linkages among euro area countries, other advanced European countries (including the Nordics, the UK, etc.), and...

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century

Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century »

Volume/Issue: 2000/44

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): N. Crafts

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451846409.001

ISBN: 9781451846409

Keywords: Growth, convergence, tfp, growth rates, real gdp, growth accounting

This paper reviews the experience of economic growth during the twentieth century with a view to highlighting implications for both growth economists and policy-makers. The unprecedented divergence in income levels...

Inequality, Poverty, and Growth
			: Cross-Country Evidence

Inequality, Poverty, and Growth : Cross-Country Evidence »

Volume/Issue: 2005/28

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Garbis Iradian

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451860474.001

ISBN: 9781451860474

Keywords: Inequality, growth, public expenditure, per capita income, economic growth, gini index, real gdp, gdp growth, Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General, Financial Institutions and Services: General

This paper examines the empirical relationship between inequality and growth, and analyzes the impacts of growth, inequality, and government spending on poverty reduction. A new panel dataset has been assembled on...