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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

2. Centrality in the Global and Regional Trade Network

2. Centrality in the Global and Regional Trade Network »

Source: Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa : In Pursuit of the Missing Link

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Céline Allard , Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia , Emmanouil Kitsios , Juan Trevino , and Wenjie Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 March 2016

ISBN: 9781498349901

Keywords: Exports, International trade, Production, Sub-Saharan Africa, Time series, Trade integration, Econometric models, Goods, Regional trade, trade

Sub-Saharan Africa’s overall progress in trade integration, however, needs to be put in perspective with developments in global trade over the same period. Global trade took off following the implementation...

Chapter 6. Economic Policy Spillovers: Saudi Arabia in the Global Economy1

Chapter 6. Economic Policy Spillovers: Saudi Arabia in the Global Economy1 »

Source: Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) : Enhancing Economic Outcomes in an Uncertain Global Economy.

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Samya Beidas-Strom , Tobias Rasmussen , and David Robinson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2011

ISBN: 9781484383315

Keywords: fiscal policy, interest, consumption, gdp, debt

Spillovers from Saudi fiscal decisions and a slowdown in emerging Asia are simulated using an augmented three-region version of the IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF). Saud...

Chapter 7. GCC Corporate Vulnerabilities1 Impact of the Global Financial Crisis and Post-Crisis Performance

Chapter 7. GCC Corporate Vulnerabilities1 Impact of the Global Financial Crisis and Post-Crisis Performance »

Source: Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) : Enhancing Economic Outcomes in an Uncertain Global Economy.

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Samya Beidas-Strom , Tobias Rasmussen , and David Robinson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2011

ISBN: 9781484383315

Keywords: fiscal policy, interest, consumption, gdp, debt

GCC stock markets fell sharply in 2008/09 as spillovers from the global financial crisis—lower oil prices and falling real estate markets—affected the region. While stock markets have yet to rec...

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth?

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth? »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Spillover Effects in the Recovery To what extent will a change in the global environment lead to a recovery, and how quickly? The global economy would seem to be on its way to provid...

Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis

Chapter 4. On the Receiving End? External Conditions and Emerging Market Growth Before, During, and After the Global Financial Crisis »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

This chapter finds that external factors induce significant fluctuations in emerging market economies’ growth, explaining about half the variance in their growth rates. Higher growth in advanced...

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates

Chapter 3. Perspectives on Global Real Interest Rates »

Source: World Economic Outlook, April 2014 : Recovery Strengthens, Remains Uneven

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 April 2014

ISBN: 9781484308349

Keywords: inflation, monetary policy, real interest rates, gdp growth, real rates

Real interest rates worldwide have declined substantially since the 1980s and are now in slightly negative territory. Common factors account for much of these movements, highlighting the relevan...

Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward?

Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward? »

Source: Debt Build-up in Frontier Low-Income Developing Countries (LIDCs) since 2012: Global or Country-specific Factors and Way Forward?

Volume/Issue: 2019/37

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Constance de Soyres , Anna Rogantini Picco , and Randa Sab

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 February 2019

ISBN: 9781484396247

Keywords: Domestic debt, Real interest rates, Economic growth, Heavily indebted poor countries, Interest rate increases, Debt build-up;Frontier LIDCs;global and country-specific factors;debt-to-GDP ratio;debt-to-GDP;country-specific;federal fund rate;fund rate

This paper focuses on the debt build-up that frontier low-income developing countries (LIDCs) have faced since 2012. First, it documents a 20-percentage point increase in the external and government debt-to-GDP ra...

Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC)
			: Enhancing Economic Outcomes in an Uncertain Global Economy.

Gulf Cooperation Council Countries (GCC) : Enhancing Economic Outcomes in an Uncertain Global Economy. »

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Samya Beidas-Strom , Tobias Rasmussen , and David Robinson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 October 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484383315.087

ISBN: 9781484383315

Keywords: fiscal policy, interest, consumption, gdp, debt

Departmental papers are usually focused on a specific economic topic, country, or region. They are prepared in a timely way to support the outreach needs of the IMF's area and functional departments....

Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa
			: In Pursuit of the Missing Link

Trade Integration and Global Value Chains in Sub-Saharan Africa : In Pursuit of the Missing Link »

Volume: 16

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Céline Allard , Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Jesus Gonzalez-Garcia , Emmanouil Kitsios , Juan Trevino , and Wenjie Chen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498349901.087

ISBN: 9781498349901

Keywords: Exports, International trade, Production, Sub-Saharan Africa, Time series, Trade integration, Econometric models, Goods, Regional trade, trade

This analysis of the extent of trade integration of sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries in the global economy as well as within the region over the 1995-2013 period focuses on four key concepts: (1) trade openness,...

Did Export Diversification Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis?

Did Export Diversification Soften the Impact of the Global Financial Crisis? »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, December 2011

Volume/Issue: 12/4

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2011

ISBN: 9781463935153

Keywords: gdp growth, recessions, banking crises, growth model, total factor productivity

The Q&A in this issue features seven questions about Large Fiscal Consolidation Attempts in the Past and Implications for Policymakers Today (by Fuad Hasanov and Paolo Mauro). The research summaries are "Booms and...