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China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown1

China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown1 »

Article

Source: China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown

Volume/Issue: 2016/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gee Hee Hong , Jaewoo Lee , Wei Liao , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 May 2016

ISBN: 9781484368565

Keywords: trade linkages, trade elasticities, spillovers Author’;s E-Mail Address: ghong@imf.org, jlee3@imf.org, wliao@imf.org, dseneviratne@imf.org

Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of dema...

61/2 Decades of Global Trade and Income

61/2 Decades of Global Trade and Income »

Article

Source: 61/2 Decades of Global Trade and Income : 'New Normal' or 'Back to Normal' after GTC and GFC?

Volume/Issue: 2016/139

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjay Kalra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 July 2016

ISBN: 9781475526592

Keywords: Global Trade and Income, Elasticities, SVAR, Globalization, Technology shocks, Structural breaks

Global merchandise trade expanded rapidly over the last 61/2 decades and its relationship with global income has seen ebbs and flows. This paper examines the shifts in this relationship using time series data over...

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession »

Article

Source: Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Volume/Issue: 2010/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kei-Mu Yi , Rudolfs Bems , and Robert Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201259

Keywords: Demand spillovers, trade collapse, input-output model, trade elasticity, domestic demand, intermediate goods, world trade, goods imports, global trade, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world trade to GDP during the global recession of 2008-2009. We find that 20-30 percent of the decline i...

Global Imbalances

Global Imbalances »

Article

Source: Global Imbalances : The Role of Non-Tradabletotal Factor Productivity in Advanced Economies

Volume/Issue: 2009/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alessandro Rebucci , Nicoletta Batini , Pietro Cova , and Massimiliano Pisani

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872101

Keywords: trade deficit, non-tradable sector, GEM, tfp, tradable goods, elasticity of substitution, intermediate goods, terms of trade,

This paper investigates the role played by total factor productivity (TFP) in the tradable and nontradable sectors of the United States, the euro area, and Japan in the emergence and evolution of today's global tra...

Global Imbalances

Global Imbalances »

Article

Source: Global Imbalances : The Role of Emerging Asia

Volume/Issue: 2009/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Massimiliano Pisani , Pietro Cova , and Alessandro Rebucci

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2009

ISBN: 9781451872118

Keywords: emerging Asia, trade deficit, non-tradable sector, exchange rate, tradable goods, intermediate goods, terms of trade, elasticity of substitution, Non-tradable Sector Non-tradable Sector,

This paper investigates the role played by emerging Asia in the emergence and evolution of the global trade imbalances. Based on simulations in a general equilibrium model of the world economy, we find that a produ...

The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) - Theoretical Structure

The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) - Theoretical Structure »

Article

Source: The Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF) - Theoretical Structure

Volume/Issue: 2010/34

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Douglas Laxton , Susanna Mursula , Michael Kumhof , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2010

ISBN: 9781451962734

Keywords: Fiscal Policy Rules, Monetary Policy Rules, Multi-Region DSGE Models, Overlapping Generations Households, Liquidity Constrained Households, Financial Accelerator, Macro-Financial Linkages, Raw Materials Sector, investment goods, fiscal stimulus

This working paper presents a comprehensive overview of the theoretical structure of the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF), a multi-region dynamic general equilibrium model that is used by the IMF...

Global Trade and the Dollar1

Global Trade and the Dollar1 »

Article

Source: Global Trade and the Dollar

Volume/Issue: 2017/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emine Boz , Gita Gopinath , and Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484327975

Keywords: Bilateral trade, Foreign exchange, Bayesian semiparametrics, dominant currency, exchange rate passthrough, hierarchical Bayes, panel data, trade elasticity, US dollar, exchange rate pass-through

We document that the U.S. dollar exchange rate drives global trade prices and volumes. Using a newly constructed data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs, we establish the fo...

The Global Trade Slowdown

The Global Trade Slowdown »

Article

Source: The Global Trade Slowdown : Cyclical or Structural?

Volume/Issue: 2015/6

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Cristina Constantinescu , Aaditya Mattoo , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2015

ISBN: 9781498399135

Keywords: Global Trade Slowdown, Trade Elasticity, trade, elasticity, gdp, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, General,

This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slow...

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports »

Article

Source: Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Volume/Issue: 2015/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed , Maximiliano Appendino , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513531793

Keywords: Real Exchange Rate, Global Value Chains, exports, exchange, value, elasticity, trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, All Countries,

This paper analyzes how the formation of Global Value Chains (GVCs) has affected the exchange rate elasticity of exports. Using a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, we first find some...

China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown

China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown »

Journal Issue

Volume/Issue: 2016/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gee Hee Hong , Jaewoo Lee , Wei Liao , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 May 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484368565.001

ISBN: 9781484368565

Keywords: trade linkages, trade elasticities, spillovers Author’;s E-Mail Address: ghong@imf.org, jlee3@imf.org, wliao@imf.org, dseneviratne@imf.org

Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of dema...