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The African Continental Free Trade Area: Potential Economic Impact and Challenges

The African Continental Free Trade Area: Potential Economic Impact and Challenges »

Source: The African Continental Free Trade Area: Potential Economic Impact and Challenges

Volume/Issue: 2020/4

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Lisandro Abrego , Mario de Zamaroczy , Tunc Gursoy , Garth Nicholls , Hector Perez-Saiz , and Jose-Nicolas Rosas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2020

ISBN: 9781513542379

Keywords: General equilibrium models, Trade barriers, Structural adjustment, Welfare, Forecasting models, Trade negotiations, Economic integration, Open economies, International trade agreements, Trade finance

Political momentum towards Africa-wide free trade has been intensifying. In March 2018, over 40 countries signed the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement. Once fully implemented, the AfCFTA is exp...

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets »

Source: The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets : Why Did Latin America Fare Better?

Volume/Issue: 2010/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kulwant Rai , and Herman Kamil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

ISBN: 9781455200610

Keywords: global: credit crunch, cross-border lending, foreign banks, foreign bank, international settlements, foreign currency, foreign affiliates, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

The recent global financial turmoil raised questions about the stability of foreign banks' financing to emerging market countries. While foreign banks' lending growth to most emerging market regions contracted shar...

Growth and Volatility in an Era of Globalization

Growth and Volatility in an Era of Globalization »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, Special Issue, IMF Conference in Honor of Michael Mussa

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 August 2005

ISBN: 9781589064478

Keywords: Economic reforms, Economic stabilization, Exchange rates, Financial crises, Exchange rate policy, Business cycles, Econometric models, Economic growth, Economic forecasting, Conferences

This paper focuses on expectations for the American economy focused on the likelihood of secular stagnation, which continued to be debated throughout the post-war period. Concerns rose during the late 1960s and ear...

Statement by the Managing Director to the International Monetary and Financial Committee on the Global Economy and Financial Markets

Statement by the Managing Director to the International Monetary and Financial Committee on the Global Economy and Financial Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2010/058

Series: Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 July 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498336666.007

ISBN: 9781498336666

Keywords: Bank reforms, Economic growth, Economic recovery, Financial sector, Fiscal consolidation, Fiscal policy, Fiscal reforms, Fiscal risk, International Monetary and Financial Committee, International monetary system

The recovery remains fragile and uneven. In many advanced economies, activity is still sluggish and unemployment high, while legacy problems in the financial system remain unresolved. Activity is more robust in man...

The African Continental Free Trade Area: Potential Economic Impact and Challenges

The African Continental Free Trade Area: Potential Economic Impact and Challenges »

Volume/Issue: 2020/4

Series: Staff Discussion Notes

Author(s): Lisandro Abrego , Mario de Zamaroczy , Tunc Gursoy , Garth Nicholls , Hector Perez-Saiz , and Jose-Nicolas Rosas

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 May 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513542379.006

ISBN: 9781513542379

Keywords: General equilibrium models, Trade barriers, Structural adjustment, Welfare, Forecasting models, Trade negotiations, Economic integration, Open economies, International trade agreements, Trade finance

Political momentum towards Africa-wide free trade has been intensifying. In March 2018, over 40 countries signed the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement. Once fully implemented, the AfCFTA is exp...

Apocalypse then
			: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2011/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Trung Bui , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902308.001

ISBN: 9781463902308

Keywords: Financial linkages, financial regulation, banking, bonds, bond, banking systems, financial market, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire...

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe
			: A Global VAR Analysis

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe : A Global VAR Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2013/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yan Sun , Frigyes Heinz , and Giang Ho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345474.001

ISBN: 9781484345474

Keywords: Euro Area, Europe, Emerging markets, Economic models, Economic integration, Cross country analysis, Developed countries, Spillover, Global VAR, regional model

This paper uses the Global VAR (GVAR) model proposed by Pesaran et al. (2004) to study cross-country linkages among euro area countries, other advanced European countries (including the Nordics, the UK, etc.), and...

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia

Spillovers from Global and Regional Shocks to Armenia »

Volume/Issue: 2015/241

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Knarik Ayvazyan , and Teresa Daban Sanchez

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513590462.001

ISBN: 9781513590462

Keywords: Spillovers, Trade, Business cycles, Transmission channels, SVAR, economy, trading partners, regional shocks, oil prices, General

Using a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model, this paper examines the size, geographical sources, and transmission channels of global and regional shocks to the Armenian economy. Results show that Armenia...

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany
			: An Assessment Using the Global Fiscal Model

Tax Reform and Debt Sustainability in Germany : An Assessment Using the Global Fiscal Model »

Volume/Issue: 2007/46

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Dennis Botman , and Stephan Danninger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451866100.001

ISBN: 9781451866100

Keywords: Aging, Debt sustainability, Economic models, Fiscal policy, Germany, Tax reforms, Value added tax, VAT, tax reform, spillover effects

In 2005, the German government announced a far-reaching fiscal adjustment program. This paper uses the IMF's Global Fiscal Model to study its impact and explores options for addressing long-term pressures from popu...

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets
			: Why Did Latin America Fare Better?

The Global Credit Crunch and Foreign Banks' Lending to Emerging Markets : Why Did Latin America Fare Better? »

Volume/Issue: 2010/102

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kulwant Rai , and Herman Kamil

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455200610.001

ISBN: 9781455200610

Keywords: global: credit crunch, cross-border lending, foreign banks, foreign bank, international settlements, foreign currency, foreign affiliates, International Lending and Debt Problems, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

The recent global financial turmoil raised questions about the stability of foreign banks' financing to emerging market countries. While foreign banks' lending growth to most emerging market regions contracted shar...