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Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring »

Source: Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Volume/Issue: 2011/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): S. Boragan Aruoba , Marco Terrones , Ayhan Kose , and Francis Diebold

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

ISBN: 9781455216727

Keywords: Expansion, Contraction, Recession, Turning Point, Dynamic factor model, Nowcasting, Real-time analysis, business cycle, business cycles, correlations

We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observati...

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization? »

Source: Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Volume/Issue: 2016/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eric Monnet , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2016

ISBN: 9781513564890

Keywords: International Business Cycles, Synchronization, business cycle, economies, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, All Countries,

This paper assesses the strength of business cycle synchronization between 1950 and 2014 in a sample of 21 countries using a new quarterly dataset based on IMF archival data. Contrary to the common wisdom, we find...

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring

Globalization, the Business Cycle, and Macroeconomic Monitoring »

Volume/Issue: 2011/25

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): S. Boragan Aruoba , Marco Terrones , Ayhan Kose , and Francis Diebold

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455216727.001

ISBN: 9781455216727

Keywords: Expansion, Contraction, Recession, Turning Point, Dynamic factor model, Nowcasting, Real-time analysis, business cycle, business cycles, correlations

We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observati...

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization?

Has Globalization Really Increased Business Cycle Synchronization? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/54

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eric Monnet , and Damien Puy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513564890.001

ISBN: 9781513564890

Keywords: International Business Cycles, Synchronization, business cycle, economies, Open Economy Macroeconomics, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, All Countries,

This paper assesses the strength of business cycle synchronization between 1950 and 2014 in a sample of 21 countries using a new quarterly dataset based on IMF archival data. Contrary to the common wisdom, we find...

Regionalization vs. Globalization

Regionalization vs. Globalization »

Volume/Issue: 2013/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hideaki Hirata , Ayhan Kose , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 January 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557753281.001

ISBN: 9781557753281

Keywords: Comovement, Synchronization, Trade linkages, Financial linkages, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, regional trade, global trade, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models

Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution o...

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Global Housing Markets

Q&A: Seven Questions on the Global Housing Markets »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2014

Volume/Issue: 15/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498340045

Keywords: monetary fund, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, housing markets, Jacques Polak, William Hood, IMF Economic Review, growth shocks, housing booms,

This issue of the IMF Research Bulletin opens with a letter from the new editor, Rabah Arezki. The Research Summaries are a "Primer on 'Global Liquidity'" (Eugenio Cerutti, Stijn Claessens, and Lev Ratnovski); and...

Regionalization vs. Globalization

Regionalization vs. Globalization »

Source: Regionalization vs. Globalization

Volume/Issue: 2013/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Hideaki Hirata , Ayhan Kose , and Christopher Otrok

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 January 2013

ISBN: 9781557753281

Keywords: Comovement, Synchronization, Trade linkages, Financial linkages, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, regional trade, global trade, Bayesian Analysis, Time-Series Models

Abstract: Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution o...

Research Summaries: A Primer on “Global Liquidity”

Research Summaries: A Primer on “Global Liquidity” »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin, September 2014

Volume/Issue: 15/3

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 October 2014

ISBN: 9781498340045

Keywords: monetary fund, business cycle, business cycle synchronization, housing markets, Jacques Polak, William Hood, IMF Economic Review, growth shocks, housing booms,

This issue of the IMF Research Bulletin opens with a letter from the new editor, Rabah Arezki. The Research Summaries are a "Primer on 'Global Liquidity'" (Eugenio Cerutti, Stijn Claessens, and Lev Ratnovski); and...

Research Summaries: Globalization and Synchronization of Business Cycles

Research Summaries: Globalization and Synchronization of Business Cycles »

Source: IMF Research Bulletin March 2004

Volume/Issue: 5/1

Series: IMF Research Bulletin

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 April 2004

ISBN: 9781451929409

Keywords: business cycle, financial integration, advanced countries, international monetary fund, International Financial Institutions, International Monetary Fund (imf), Synchronization,

The IMF Research Bulletin, a quarterly publication, selectively summarizes research and analytical work done by various departments at the IMF, and also provides a listing of research documents and other research-r...