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Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances

Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances »

Source: Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances : Some Conventional Views Reconsidered

Volume/Issue: 2007/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Guy Meredith

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2007

ISBN: 9781451865684

Keywords: Debt Dynamics, International Adjustment, exchange rate, current account, real exchange rate, external debt, current account deficit, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Consumer Economics: Theory, Macroeconomics: Consumption

We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to...

The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth »

Source: The Domestic and Global Impact of Japan's Policies for Growth

Volume/Issue: 2005/209

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nicoletta Batini , Alessandro Rebucci , and Papa N'Diaye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2005

ISBN: 9781451862287

Keywords: Global External Imbalance, Productivity Growth, Macroeconomic Models, current account, world economy, government debt, current account surplus, intermediate goods, Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Japan is facing a sizable fiscal imbalance against a backdrop of weak trend growth and growing external imbalances in the world economy. This paper examines the possible impact of fiscal adjustment and productivity...

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia »

Source: Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia

Volume/Issue: 2014/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alberto Behar , and Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2014

ISBN: 9781484380796

Keywords: Gravity model, Caucasus, oil exports, oil exporters, exporters, services exports, exporter, Trade Forecasting and Simulation, International Business Cycles,

This paper quantifies the effect of realized and potential global growth disappointments on export volumes from the Middle East, North Africa, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. Estimates of export elasticities with r...

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM

The Flexible System of Global Models – FSGM »

Source: The Flexible System of Global Models - FSGM

Volume/Issue: 2015/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michal Andrle , Patrick Blagrave , Pedro Espaillat , Keiko Honjo , Benjamin Hunt , Mika Kortelainen , René Lalonde , Douglas Laxton , Eleonara Mavroeidi , Dirk Muir , Susanna Mursula , and Stephen Snudden

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

ISBN: 9781475518665

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, macroeconomic interdependence, consumption, investment, demand, trade, potential output, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) is a group of models developed by the Economic Modeling Division of the IMF for policy analysis. A typical module of FSGM is a multi-region, forward-looking semi-structur...

Apocalypse then
			: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis

Apocalypse then : The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis »

Volume/Issue: 2011/212

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Trung Bui , and Tamim Bayoumi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463902308.001

ISBN: 9781463902308

Keywords: Financial linkages, financial regulation, banking, bonds, bond, banking systems, financial market, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The financial crisis, originated from the collapse of US housing markets in 2008, reverberates around the world. Its destructive force was felt nowhere more keenly than Western Europe. Indeed, it continues to mire...

Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances
			: Some Conventional Views Reconsidered

Debt Dynamics and Global Imbalances : Some Conventional Views Reconsidered »

Volume/Issue: 2007/4

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Guy Meredith

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451865684.001

ISBN: 9781451865684

Keywords: Debt Dynamics, International Adjustment, exchange rate, current account, real exchange rate, external debt, current account deficit, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Consumer Economics: Theory, Macroeconomics: Consumption

We use a general-equilibrium model to explain the rise in global trade and payments imbalances since the mid-1990s, and then to construct adjustment paths to a steady state. Assuming that the shocks giving rise to...

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia

Export Spillovers from Global Shocks for the Middle East and Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2014/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Alberto Behar , and Jaime Espinosa-Bowen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484380796.001

ISBN: 9781484380796

Keywords: Gravity model, Caucasus, oil exports, oil exporters, exporters, services exports, exporter, Trade Forecasting and Simulation, International Business Cycles,

This paper quantifies the effect of realized and potential global growth disappointments on export volumes from the Middle East, North Africa, the Caucasus, and Central Asia. Estimates of export elasticities with r...

Measuring Competitiveness in a World of Global Value Chains

Measuring Competitiveness in a World of Global Value Chains »

Volume/Issue: 2018/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , Maximiliano Appendino , Jelle Barkema , and Diego Cerdeiro

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 2018

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484337134.001

ISBN: 9781484337134

Keywords: Economic integration, Global value chains, International competitiveness, Trade openness, Trade Forecasting and Simulation, Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

All common real effective exchange rate indexes assume trade is only in final goods, despite the growing presence of global supply chains. Extending effective exchange rate indexes to include such intermediate good...

Monetary Policy in Low Income Countries in the Face of the Global Crisis
			: The Case of Zambia

Monetary Policy in Low Income Countries in the Face of the Global Crisis : The Case of Zambia »

Volume/Issue: 2012/94

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jaromir Benes , Andrew Berg , Rafael Portillo , Mai Dao , and Alfredo Baldini

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502848.001

ISBN: 9781475502848

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis, Low-Income Countries, inflation, terms of trade, aggregate demand, money growth, International Finance Forecasting and Simulation,

We develop a DSGE model with a banking sector to analyze the impact of the financial crisis on Zambia and the role of the monetary policy response. We view the crisis as a combination of three related shocks: a wor...

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa
			: Insights from the Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM)

Spillovers from China onto Sub-Saharan Africa : Insights from the Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM) »

Volume/Issue: 2015/221

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Derek Anderson , Jorge Canales Kriljenko , Paulo Drummond , Pedro Espaillat , and Dirk Muir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 October 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513557885.001

ISBN: 9781513557885

Keywords: macroeconomic interdepedence, trade, investment, exports, economy, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics

What is the impact of economic spillovers from China on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)? This is an increasingly important question because of China's growing economic role as a partner of SSA countriesfor both trade and...