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World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

World Economic Outlook, April 2019

Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery

The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade »

Source: Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade : The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2017/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yevgeniya Korniyenko , Magali Pinat , and Brian Dew

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578515

Keywords: External shocks, Imports, International trade, International trade, Spillovers, Supply, Manufactured goods, supply shocks, network analysis, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Anecdotal evidence suggests the existence of specific choke points in the global trade network revealed especially after natural disasters (e.g. hard drive components and Thailand flooding, Japanese auto components...

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1 »

Source: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Volume/Issue: 2010/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205264

Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...

The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus1

The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus1 »

Source: The Case for Global Fiscal Stimulus

Volume/Issue: 2009/03

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): Jaewoo Lee , Douglas Laxton , Michael Kumhof , and Charles Freedman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 06 March 2009

ISBN: 9781455268368

Keywords: Financial sector, Financial crisis, Economic models, Central banks, Cross country analysis, Economic growth, Spillovers, Stabilization measures, Fiscal policy, Monetary policy

...

Chapter 3. Global Disinflation in an Era of Constrained Monetary Policy

Chapter 3. Global Disinflation in an Era of Constrained Monetary Policy »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Inflation has declined markedly in many economies over the past few years. This chapter finds that disinflation is broad based across countries, measures, and sectors—albeit larger for tradable...

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Recent Developments and Prospects The forces shaping the global outlook—both those operating over the short term and those operating over the long term—point to subdued growth for 20...

Chapter 2. Global Trade: What’s Behind the Slowdown?

Chapter 2. Global Trade: What’s Behind the Slowdown? »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This chapter finds that the overall weakness in economic activity, in partic...

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth?

CHAPTER 4 How Fast Can Countries Return to a Path of Sustained Growth? »

Source: Spillover Effects and the East African Community : Explaining the Slowdown and the Recovery

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 December 2009

ISBN: 9781455245161

Keywords: Economic conditions, Economic growth, Spillovers, gdp growth, world growth, real gdp, commodity prices, domestic demand

Spillover Effects in the Recovery To what extent will a change in the global environment lead to a recovery, and how quickly? The global economy would seem to be on its way to provid...

Chapter II: Swaziland’s Interconnection with the Global Economy

Chapter II: Swaziland’s Interconnection with the Global Economy »

Source: Restoring Sustainability in a Changing Global Environment : Options for Swaziland

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Olivier Basdevant , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2013

ISBN: 9781475589412

Keywords: Banking sector, Currency pegs, Debt sustainability analysis, External shocks, Reserves, Private sector, South Africa, Spillovers, Fiscal risk, Fiscal policy

Swaziland is highly interconnected with South Africa and with the global economy. As the global economy faces higher risks of adverse shocks, Swaziland may be affected by spillover effects. These shocks woul...

China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown1

China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown1 »

Source: China and Asia in Global Trade Slowdown

Volume/Issue: 2016/105

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Gee Hee Hong , Jaewoo Lee , Wei Liao , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 May 2016

ISBN: 9781484368565

Keywords: trade linkages, trade elasticities, spillovers Author’;s E-Mail Address: ghong@imf.org, jlee3@imf.org, wliao@imf.org, dseneviratne@imf.org

Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China's import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of dema...

China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets

China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets »

Source: China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets

Volume/Issue: 2016/06

Series: Spillover Notes

Author(s): Christina Kolerus , Papa N'Diaye , and Christian Saborowski

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 September 2016

ISBN: 9781475541069

Keywords: Crude oil, Food prices, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, Commodity prices, China, Spillovers, Industrial production, footprint, global commodity markets

This note assesses empirically the role Chinese activity plays in global commodities markets, showing that the strength of China's economic activity has a significant bearing on commodity prices, but that the impac...