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World Economic Outlook, April 2019
Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery
The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.
World Economic Outlook, April 2019
Growth Slowdown, Precarious Recovery
The global economic expansion decelerated in the second half of 2018 with global growth projected to slow to 3.3 percent in 2019, with risks to future growth on the downside.
Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1 »
Source: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?
Volume/Issue: 2010/196
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Reginald Darius
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 August 2010
ISBN: 9781455205264
Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,
During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...
Chapter 3. Global Disinflation in an Era of Constrained Monetary Policy »
Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies
Series: World Economic Outlook
Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 04 October 2016
ISBN: 9781513599540
Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade
Inflation has declined markedly in many economies over the past few years. This chapter finds that disinflation is broad based across countries, measures, and sectors—albeit larger for tradable...
Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »
Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies
Series: World Economic Outlook
Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 04 October 2016
ISBN: 9781513599540
Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade
Recent Developments and Prospects The forces shaping the global outlook—both those operating over the short term and those operating over the long term—point to subdued growth for 20...
Chapter 2. Global Trade: What’s Behind the Slowdown? »
Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies
Series: World Economic Outlook
Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 04 October 2016
ISBN: 9781513599540
Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade
Trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This chapter finds that the overall weakness in economic activity, in partic...
China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets »
Source: China's Footprint in Global Commodity Markets
Volume/Issue: 2016/06
Series: Spillover Notes
Author(s): Christina Kolerus , Papa N'Diaye , and Christian Saborowski
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 27 September 2016
ISBN: 9781475541069
Keywords: Crude oil, Food prices, Asia and Pacific, Commodities, Commodity prices, China, Spillovers, Industrial production, footprint, global commodity markets
This note assesses empirically the role Chinese activity plays in global commodities markets, showing that the strength of China's economic activity has a significant bearing on commodity prices, but that the impac...
Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession »
Source: Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession
Volume/Issue: 2010/142
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Kei-Mu Yi , Rudolfs Bems , and Robert Johnson
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 June 2010
ISBN: 9781455201259
Keywords: Demand spillovers, trade collapse, input-output model, trade elasticity, domestic demand, intermediate goods, world trade, goods imports, global trade, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,
This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world trade to GDP during the global recession of 2008-2009. We find that 20-30 percent of the decline i...
Does Trade and Technology Transmission Facilitate Inequality Convergence? An Inquiry into the Role of Technology in Reducing the Poverty of Nations »
Source: Does Trade and Technology Transmission Facilitate Inequality Convergence? An Inquiry into the Role of Technology in Reducing the Poverty of Nations
Volume/Issue: 2007/16
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Gouranga Gopal Das
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 01 January 2007
ISBN: 9781451865806
Keywords: Inequality, Spillover, Institution, Gini Coefficient, Skill Cohorts, Growth, tfp, economic growth, global trade, trade openness
Based on stylized evidence showing variation of the Gini coefficient of income inequality across skill cohorts and on the rapid rise in trade in technology-intensive goods, the ripple effects of technology transmis...
Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach1 »
Source: Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach
Volume/Issue: 2018/113
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Yevgeniya Korniyenko , Manasa Patnam , Rita Maria del Rio-Chanon , and Mason Porter
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 15 May 2018
ISBN: 9781484353240
Keywords: Spillovers, Financial contagion, International financial markets, network analysis, Neural Networks and Related Topics, International Lending and Debt Problems, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, Globalization: Finance
This paper studies the interconnectedness of the global financial system and its susceptibility to shocks. A novel multilayer network framework is applied to link debt and equity exposures across countries. Use of...
Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies* »
Source: Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies
Volume/Issue: 2013/264
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Anke Weber
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 23 December 2013
ISBN: 9781484328446
Keywords: Emerging Market Economies, Fiscal Deficit, Global Spillovers, bond, bond yields, domestic bond, sovereign bond, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,
While fiscal conditions remain healthier than in advanced economies, emerging economies continue to be exposed to negative spillovers if global conditions were to become less favorable. This paper finds that domest...
Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies »
Source: Household Credit, Global Financial Cycle, and Macroprudential Policies : Credit Register Evidence from an Emerging Country
Volume/Issue: 2018/13
Series: IMF Working Papers
Author(s): Mircea Epure , Irina Mihai , Camelia Minoiu , and José-Luis Peydró
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Publication Date: 24 January 2018
ISBN: 9781484338599
Keywords: Household credit, Romania, Europe, Central banks and their policies, macroprudential policies, global financial cycle, cross-border spillovers, General
We analyze the effects of macroprudential policies on local bank credit cycles and interactions with international financial conditions. For identification, we exploit the comprehensive credit register containing a...