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Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?1 »

Source: Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Volume/Issue: 2010/196

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Reginald Darius

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2010

ISBN: 9781455205264

Keywords: Asset Price, Spillover Analysis, central bank, global financial crisis, private credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the exte...

Chapter 3. Global Disinflation in an Era of Constrained Monetary Policy

Chapter 3. Global Disinflation in an Era of Constrained Monetary Policy »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Inflation has declined markedly in many economies over the past few years. This chapter finds that disinflation is broad based across countries, measures, and sectors—albeit larger for tradable...

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies

Chapter 1. Global Prospects and Policies »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Recent Developments and Prospects The forces shaping the global outlook—both those operating over the short term and those operating over the long term—point to subdued growth for 20...

Chapter 2. Global Trade: What’s Behind the Slowdown?

Chapter 2. Global Trade: What’s Behind the Slowdown? »

Source: World Economic Outlook, October 2016 : Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies

Series: World Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 04 October 2016

ISBN: 9781513599540

Keywords: World Economic Outlook, International trade, General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Discriminatory trade practices, International trade agreements, Trade, Trade liberalization, Trade policy, Global trade, Restraint of trade

Trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This chapter finds that the overall weakness in economic activity, in partic...

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession »

Source: Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession

Volume/Issue: 2010/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kei-Mu Yi , Rudolfs Bems , and Robert Johnson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2010

ISBN: 9781455201259

Keywords: Demand spillovers, trade collapse, input-output model, trade elasticity, domestic demand, intermediate goods, world trade, goods imports, global trade, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance,

This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world trade to GDP during the global recession of 2008-2009. We find that 20-30 percent of the decline i...

Essays on the Global Financial Crisis

Essays on the Global Financial Crisis »

Series: Miscellaneous Publication (Other)

Author(s): Heiko Hesse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 December 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475544121.073

ISBN: 9781475544121

Keywords: Global Financial Crisis 2008-2009, financial crisis, subprime, spillovers, emerging markets, Global Financial Crisis, contagion, sovereign wealth funds, stress testing, bank restructuring

The Global Financial Crisis has been a watershed event not only for many advanced economies but also emerging markets around the world. This book brings together research and policy work over the last nine years fr...

FDI, Global Value Chains, and Local Sourcing in Developing Countries1

FDI, Global Value Chains, and Local Sourcing in Developing Countries1 »

Source: FDI, Global Value Chains, and Local Sourcing in Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 2017/284

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vito Amendolagine , Andrea Presbitero , Roberta Rabellotti , Marco Sanfilippo , and Adnan Seric

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 December 2017

ISBN: 9781484335109

Keywords: Foreign direct investment, Spillovers, International trade, Econometric models, Developing countries, Sub-Saharan Africa, Vietnam, Foreign Direct Investment, Global Value Chains, Local Sourcing

The local sourcing of intermediate products is one the main channels for foreign direct investment (FDI) spillovers. This paper investigates whether and how participation and positioning in the global value chains...

Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies*

Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies* »

Source: Global Spillovers into Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2013/264

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Laura Jaramillo , and Anke Weber

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2013

ISBN: 9781484328446

Keywords: Emerging Market Economies, Fiscal Deficit, Global Spillovers, bond, bond yields, domestic bond, sovereign bond, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy,

While fiscal conditions remain healthier than in advanced economies, emerging economies continue to be exposed to negative spillovers if global conditions were to become less favorable. This paper finds that domest...

Trade Tensions, Global Value Chains, and Spillovers
			: Insights for Europe

Trade Tensions, Global Value Chains, and Spillovers : Insights for Europe »

Volume/Issue: 2019/10

Series: Departmental Papers / Policy Papers

Author(s): Raju Huidrom , Nemanja Jovanovic , Carlos Mulas-Granados , Laura Papi , Faezeh Raei , Emil Stavrev , and Philippe Wingender

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 June 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498315135.087

ISBN: 9781498315135

Keywords: Supply, Tariffs, Economic growth, Spillovers, Trade, Regional trade, Trade Tensions;Global value Chains;Supply Chains;Growth;Tariffs;Spillovers

Europe is deeply integrated into global value chains and recent trade tensions raise the question of how European economies would be affected by the introduction of tariffs or other trade barriers. This paper estim...

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe
			: A Global VAR Analysis

Cross-Country Linkages in Europe : A Global VAR Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2013/194

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yan Sun , Frigyes Heinz , and Giang Ho

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 September 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345474.001

ISBN: 9781484345474

Keywords: Euro Area, Europe, Emerging markets, Economic models, Economic integration, Cross country analysis, Developed countries, Spillover, Global VAR, regional model

This paper uses the Global VAR (GVAR) model proposed by Pesaran et al. (2004) to study cross-country linkages among euro area countries, other advanced European countries (including the Nordics, the UK, etc.), and...