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Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade »

Source: Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade : The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

Volume/Issue: 2017/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yevgeniya Korniyenko , Magali Pinat , and Brian Dew

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2017

ISBN: 9781475578515

Keywords: External shocks, Imports, International trade, International trade, Spillovers, Supply, Manufactured goods, supply shocks, network analysis, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Anecdotal evidence suggests the existence of specific choke points in the global trade network revealed especially after natural disasters (e.g. hard drive components and Thailand flooding, Japanese auto components...

Global Trade and the Dollar1

Global Trade and the Dollar1 »

Source: Global Trade and the Dollar

Volume/Issue: 2017/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emine Boz , Gita Gopinath , and Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484327975

Keywords: Bilateral trade, Foreign exchange, Bayesian semiparametrics, dominant currency, exchange rate passthrough, hierarchical Bayes, panel data, trade elasticity, US dollar, exchange rate pass-through

We document that the U.S. dollar exchange rate drives global trade prices and volumes. Using a newly constructed data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs, we establish the fo...

The Global Trade Slowdown

The Global Trade Slowdown »

Source: The Global Trade Slowdown : Cyclical or Structural?

Volume/Issue: 2015/6

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Cristina Constantinescu , Aaditya Mattoo , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 21 January 2015

ISBN: 9781498399135

Keywords: Global Trade Slowdown, Trade Elasticity, trade, elasticity, gdp, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, General,

This paper focuses on the sluggish growth of world trade relative to income growth in recent years. The analysis uses an empirical strategy based on an error correction model to assess whether the global trade slow...

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports »

Source: Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Volume/Issue: 2015/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed , Maximiliano Appendino , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2015

ISBN: 9781513531793

Keywords: Real Exchange Rate, Global Value Chains, exports, exchange, value, elasticity, trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, All Countries,

This paper analyzes how the formation of Global Value Chains (GVCs) has affected the exchange rate elasticity of exports. Using a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, we first find some...

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate?

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate? »

Source: Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate?

Volume/Issue: 2019/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Faezeh Raei , Anna Ignatenko , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 January 2019

ISBN: 9781484392928

Keywords: Economic integration, Trade, global value chains, gains from trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains (GVC). Recent theoretical work has shown that countries can benefit from participation in GVCs thr...

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade
			: The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis

Assessing the Fragility of Global Trade : The Impact of Localized Supply Shocks Using Network Analysis »

Volume/Issue: 2017/30

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Yevgeniya Korniyenko , Magali Pinat , and Brian Dew

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475578515.001

ISBN: 9781475578515

Keywords: External shocks, Imports, International trade, International trade, Spillovers, Supply, Manufactured goods, supply shocks, network analysis, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Anecdotal evidence suggests the existence of specific choke points in the global trade network revealed especially after natural disasters (e.g. hard drive components and Thailand flooding, Japanese auto components...

Global Trade and the Dollar

Global Trade and the Dollar »

Volume/Issue: 2017/239

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Emine Boz , Gita Gopinath , and Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 November 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484327975.001

ISBN: 9781484327975

Keywords: Bilateral trade, Foreign exchange, Bayesian semiparametrics, dominant currency, exchange rate passthrough, hierarchical Bayes, panel data, trade elasticity, US dollar, exchange rate pass-through

We document that the U.S. dollar exchange rate drives global trade prices and volumes. Using a newly constructed data set of bilateral price and volume indices for more than 2,500 country pairs, we establish the fo...

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports

Global Value Chains and the Exchange Rate Elasticity of Exports »

Volume/Issue: 2015/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Swarnali Ahmed , Maximiliano Appendino , and Michele Ruta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 November 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513531793.001

ISBN: 9781513531793

Keywords: Real Exchange Rate, Global Value Chains, exports, exchange, value, elasticity, trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, All Countries,

This paper analyzes how the formation of Global Value Chains (GVCs) has affected the exchange rate elasticity of exports. Using a panel framework covering 46 countries over the period 1996-2012, we first find some...

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate?

Global Value Chains: What are the Benefits and Why Do Countries Participate? »

Volume/Issue: 2019/18

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Faezeh Raei , Anna Ignatenko , and Borislava Mircheva

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 January 2019

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484392928.001

ISBN: 9781484392928

Keywords: Economic integration, Trade, global value chains, gains from trade, Country and Industry Studies of Trade

Over the last two decades, world trade and production have become increasingly organized around global value chains (GVC). Recent theoretical work has shown that countries can benefit from participation in GVCs thr...

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World

Launching Export Accelerations in Latin America and the World »

Volume/Issue: 2017/43

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valerie Cerra , and Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 March 2017

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475585506.001

ISBN: 9781475585506

Keywords: Trade, Unemployment, export accelerations, growth, inequality, probit, synthetic control method, Latin America and the Caribbean; globalization, Latin America and the Caribbean, globalization

This paper investigates the determinants of sustained accelerations in goods and services exports. Strong predictors of export takeoffs include domestic and structural indicators such as lower macroeconomic uncerta...